Federal Reserve

Deploy Cash And Reduce Hedges Our highest probability scenario has come true in the Israel Iran war. This scenario was given in advance as the highest probability scenario on June 13 morning, just after Israel’s first attack. Our readers were once again ahead of the curve and had clarity at a...

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told Congress Tuesday that while inflation has cooled from its 2022 peak, it remains “somewhat elevated,” and the central bank is not ready to adjust interest rates, yet. However, he said the Fed is "well positioned to wait" for more clarity before...

U.S. bonds are on track to log ten straight six-month periods of underperformance relative to stocks, a record-breaking stretch of underperformance since 2020 that’s rippling through markets and shaking up traditional investor portfolios. The streak spans five years and reflects a regime...

The U.S. strike on Iran's nuclear facility on June 21 has raised the specter of a new oil crisis, reviving investor fears of energy-driven inflation and testing whether the stock market can withstand another geopolitical shock. Historical precedent offers a guide to how the S&P 500 index...

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% during Wednesday’s June meeting, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling no urgency to cut rates as officials monitor potential tariff-driven inflation impacts. What Happened: Sage Advisory managing partner Thomas Urano told Yahoo...

Investor caution dominated Wall Street this week, as escalating tensions between Israel and Iran fueled fears of potential U.S. involvement. Plus, the Federal Reserve's decision to keep rates as is peeved President Donald Trump. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.5% for the...

During a 2025 that's been punctuated by uncertainty, the last thing US investors will have wanted to hear is that expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are balanced on a knife’s edge.  After putting the odds of a June rate cut at ‘50/50', economist Jon Faust has...

The Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to hold interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting has triggered an escalating backlash, with both political and industry voices now demanding that Chairman Jerome Powell step down immediately. What began as a political feud...

Economist Peter Schiff issued warnings about America’s economic trajectory during Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting, predicting the central bank’s decade-long policies will trigger an unavoidable crisis worse than 2008. What Happened: The Federal Open Market Committee kept...

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell defended the decision to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, saying inflation has eased but not enough to warrant cuts, especially with trade and geopolitical risks clouding the outlook. "Incoming inflation data has been encouraging," Powell said during...

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% for a fourth straight meeting on Wednesday, aligning with market expectations, while signaling slower growth and hotter inflation ahead compared to its March forecast. The June Fed statement struck a slightly more confident tone, noting...

U.S. stocks inched higher by midday Wednesday, as traders weighed geopolitical uncertainty and awaited the Federal Reserve's June policy decision. President Donald Trump declined to offer a clear response on whether the U.S. would directly intervene in the escalating Israel-Iran conflict. The...

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday as President Donald Trump's volatile tariff policy clouds the economic outlook. The decision will mark the fourth straight pause in the rate-cutting cycle that began in September. Yet, rather than the rate...

U.S. retail sales for May are expected to post a sharp monthly decline, potentially reinforcing concerns that tariff headlines and economic uncertainty are starting to pinch consumer spending. That would mark the second monthly drop in 2025 after January's 0.9% plunge. Monthly declines in retail...