Betting On The Oscars: 'Oppenheimer,' 'Barbie' Success Could Mean Big Payouts For Bettors

Zinger Key Points
  • The 96th Academy Awards are hosted on ABC on March 10, 2024.
  • A look at the betting favorites in several of the major categories.

Betting on major league sports has grown over the years, with more states legalizing online sports betting.

Sports bettors have also been drawn to novel betting avenues, including on political outcomes through cryptocurrency prediction markets.

Bettors now have the option to wager on award show outcomes as well, like the upcoming 96th Academy Awards.

What Happened: Two of the top grossing 2023 movies were released on the same day, creating a pop culture phenomenon. "Oppenheimer" and "Barbie" have also been among the most nominated movies on this year's movie awards circuit.

The two movies will face off in several categories, including for the iconic Best Picture award.

"Oppenheimer" leads the way with 13 Academy Award nominations. The movie from Comcast Corporation CMCSA and grossed $326.1 million domestically and $957.7 million globally. The movie was recently added to the Peacock streaming platform owned by Comcast.

"Poor Things" from The Walt Disney Company DIS owned Searchlight brand has 11 nominations.

"Killers of the Flower Moon" from Apple Inc AAPL has 10 nominations.

"Barbie," which comes from Warner Bros. Discovery WBD and is based on the Mattel Inc MAT brand has eight nominations. The movie grossed over $1.44 billion worldwide.

Among the most nominated companies for the Academy Awards are Disney with 20 and Comcast and streaming company Netflix Inc NFLX tied for second at 18 nominees each.

The 96th Academy Awards air on Disney-owned ABC at 7 pm. ET on March 10 and will see many of the key categories televised. Bettors at many major sportsbooks can place bets on some of the key awards.

Related Link: Sports Betting To Pay Off Student Loans? New Trend Takes Over TikTok


Betting Odds: Here's a look at betting odds for some of the key award races from sports betting platform DraftKings Inc DKNG and which movies and people received awards at the Golden Globes and Screen Actors Guild Awards, which sometimes can predict the winners of the Academy Awards.

Best Picture

  • "American Fiction": +8000
  • "Anatomy of a Fall": +4000
  • "Barbie": +3500
  • "The Holdovers": +2500
  • "Killers of the Flower Moon": +6500
  • "Maestro": +15000
  • "Oppenheimer": -5000
  • "Past Lives": +10000
  • "Poor Things": +2000
  • "The Zone of Interest": +2500

"Oppenheimer" is a huge betting favorite at odds of -5000, which means a $1 bet would pay out a profit of only two cents if correct. The movie won the cast award for the Screen Actors Guild and Best Picture Drama at the Golden Globes. "Poor Things" won the Best Picture Comedy or Musical at the Golden Globes.

Christopher Nolan is also the heavy favorite to win Best Director for "Oppenheimer" with odds of -5000. Nolan won the Best Director Golden Globe Award.

Oppenheimer star Cillian Murphy is also a large betting favorite to win Best Actor with odds of -1000, which means a $1 bet pays out a profit of 10 cents if correct. Ranking second at odds of +500 is Paul Giamatti for "The Holdovers." Murphy and Giamatti each won Golden Globes, while it was Murphy winning the Screen Actors Guild Award.

Robert Downey Jr. is also a heavy betting favorite for Best Supporting Actor for his role in "Oppenheimer" at odds of -3500, paying a two cent profit on a $1 bet. DaVine Joy Randolph is the betting favorite at odds of -3000 for Best Supporting Actress for her role in "The Holdovers." Both Downey Jr. and Randolph won Golden Globes and Screen Actors Guild awards.

One key betting market could be the race for Best Actress, which sees Lily Gladstone ("Killers of the Flower Moon") and Emma Stone ("Poor Things") in the closest race of the major awards with odds of -225 and +135 respectively. Gladstone and Stone each won Golden Globes, while it was Gladstone who took home the Screen Actors Guild award and could have the inside track. A $1 bet on Gladstone pays out a profit of 44 cents if she wins.

"Anatomy of a Fall" won the Best Screenplay at the Golden Globes and is the betting favorite at -280.

While “Barbie” may not win any of the big awards, it is the betting favorite for Best Original Song. "What Was I Made For?" and "I'm Just Ken" rank as the top two betting odds for the category at -750 and +450, giving "Barbie" two frontrunners for the award out of five nominees.

Read Next: Barbie Movie Magic: Here's How Much Margot Robbie Made For Her Starring Role And Producing Hit Film

Photo: Shutterstock

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