Trump, Biden Tied In National Poll Again: Did Skipping Republican Debate Help Former President?

Zinger Key Points
  • A weekly poll from Morning Consult asks voters who they would pick in hypothetical 2024 election matchups.
  • Biden and Trump are the favorites to win their party's nominations, setting up a potential rematch of the 2020 election.
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The 2024 presidential election could end up being a rematch of the 2020 election race, which saw voters choose between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Currently serving as the 46th president, Biden defeated Trump in the 2020 presidential election.

A weekly poll showed a potential matchup between the two past presidents is fairly even among voters.

What Happened: President Biden has been the favorite to win the Democratic Party nomination in the 2024 election. While some in his party have expressed concern over his age, Biden has polled well ahead of the limited challengers he currently faces for the party’s nomination.

If Biden wins the Democratic nomination, he will likely face off against Trump or Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, the two candidates who have dominated GOP polls for months.

The weekly Morning Consult poll asked registered voters who they would select in hypothetical elections of Trump vs. Biden and Biden vs. DeSantis.

Voters showed a tie between Biden and Trump with each candidate getting 43% of the vote. Ten percent said they would vote for someone else, and five percent said they were unsure who they would select.

This marks a gain for Trump, who had only 42% of the vote in last week’s poll, compared to 43% for Biden.

In a matchup between Biden and DeSantis, Biden won with a 42% to 39% advantage. Eleven percent said they would vote for someone else and 7% said they were unsure who they would vote for. This marked the same totals for both Biden and DeSantis in last week’s poll.

Related Link: Who's To Blame If Washington Shuts Down, Republicans, Democrats Or Biden? 

Why It’s Important: After having a close one-point lead in last week’s poll, Biden now finds himself tied with Trump in the latest national poll.

This marked the second time in three weeks that the two leading candidates were tied in the poll.

Since tracking began, Biden has led Trump in all but three polls, with one poll having Trump take a lead and the two recent ties.

Biden has often led Trump by one to two percentage points, with the matchups remaining close from voters polls.

Four weeks ago, Biden had a three-point lead over Trump in one of his biggest advantages in recent months, before seeing momentum shift towards Trump in the weekly poll.

Biden has also been losing ground with DeSantis in recent weeks. In most weeks, Biden has enjoyed a four- or five-point advantage over the Florida governor.

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The momentum shift for Biden came after it was recently announced Biden’s son Hunter Biden was indicted and faced federal charges over a weapon purchased in 2018.

Biden has ramped up spending on political advertising in recent months.

Trump and Biden have entered a potentially pivotal time for the 2024 election, with Trump skipping the Republican primary debates and likely setting his eyes on the potential rematch with the current president.

Trump skipped both of the first two Republican primary debates and plans on skipping the third debate in November as well. The former president has been gaining support from Republican voters despite skipping the debates.

The rise of Trump in the poll could come with voters more confident Trump can win the Republican nomination and carry the momentum to beating Biden. That paired with Biden’s recent news cycle and concerns over his age might be swaying voters to Trump.

Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom has been considered a potential candidate to run against Biden in the 2024 election by some experts but has publicly said he’s not running.

A planned debate between DeSantis and Newsom that will air on Fox News in November could be a precursor to a potential run by Newsom depending on support and reception from the event. The debate between the two governors of rival parties is being called a “Red state vs. Blue state debate.”

Read Next: Is Joe Biden To Blame? Voters Are Less Confident In The Democratic Party, Survey Shows 

Photo: Shutterstock
 

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Posted In: PoliticsGeneral2024 election2024 Presidential ElectionDonald Trumpelection pollGavin NewsomJoe BidenMorning ConsultPresident BidenRon DeSantisTrump
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