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Why Tesla's China Situation May Be More Favorable Than Previously Imagined

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Why Tesla's China Situation May Be More Favorable Than Previously Imagined

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) secured permission last month to construct a wholly-owned factory in Shanghai’s free trade zone, circumventing Chinese laws requiring foreign automakers to enter joint ventures with domestic partners.

However, it was seen to remain subject to a 25-percent import tariff. Now, even that hurdle seems to be collapsing.

The Analyst

Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi Jr. covers technology stocks including Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (NYSE: HPE).

The Rating

Bernstein reiterated a Market Perform rating on Tesla with a $265 price target.

The Thesis

China’s regulations for electric vehicle manufacturers may further diminish, Vice President of Investor Relations Aaron Chew told Bernstein.

“Tesla appears to believe that it may be able to produce cars in China for the country's domestic market without having to face import tariffs,” Sacconaghi wrote in a Wednesday note.

Additionally, Chew forecasted steady capital expenditure through 2018 and suggested the company could develop $100-per-kiloWatt batteries by 2019, two years ahead of competitor expectations.

Bernstein sees risk in the potential need for a 2018 capital raise and Model 3 execution.

Price Action

Tesla’s stock took a beating over the last week amid a bottom-line earnings miss, legislative proposals to eliminate the electric vehicle federal tax credit, and the firm’s mentioning in the Paradise Papers.

At time of publication, Tesla was trading at $303.27, down 9 percent week-over-week.

Related Links:

Gene Munster: Tesla Investors Will Be Rewarded After A Longer-Than-Expected Shift To Autonomy

What Rebuilding Puerto Rico’s Grid Would Mean For Tesla And Its Investors

Latest Ratings for TSLA

DateFirmActionFromTo
Dec 2020Goldman SachsUpgradesNeutralBuy
Nov 2020WedbushMaintainsNeutral
Nov 2020Morgan StanleyUpgradesEqual-WeightOverweight

View More Analyst Ratings for TSLA
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

 

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StockFirmActionPT
KALUBenchmarkUpgrades
YEXTDA DavidsonMaintains20.5
BYDB of A SecuritiesMaintains47.0
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