- Analysts are optimistic about Arm's long-term AI and data center prospects, citing its new compute subsystem (CSS) as a key growth driver.
- Concerns about Arm's short-term outlook include a potential pivot to full chip development.
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Arm Holdings ARM drew investor attention on Wednesday as optimism over artificial intelligence continued to drive activity across semiconductor stocks.
The British chipmaker, whose energy-efficient processor blueprints power the majority of the world's smartphones, also has a growing presence in automotive, data center, and Internet of Things applications.
Its technology underpins much of the current AI infrastructure boom. Despite that positioning, Arm shares are up only 8% year-to-date, trailing the Nasdaq 100's more than 11% gain.
Also Read: Chipmaker Arm Is Riding AI Wave And Outperforming The Market
Weaker guidance, concerns about a slower payoff from AI investments, and speculation that the company may expand into building finished chips, potentially competing with its own customers, have tempered enthusiasm.
Broader risks, including trade tensions and potential tariffs, have also added pressure in the smartphone segment, a critical revenue source.
The wider AI buildout continues to attract massive spending from U.S. technology giants. Microsoft MSFT, Meta Platforms META, and Alphabet's GOOGL GOOG Google have collectively committed more than $250 billion to AI infrastructure between 2025 and 2026.
That includes a projected $100 billion outlay by Meta in 2026, Google's raised 2025 forecast of $85 billion, and Microsoft's plans to spend over $100 billion annually.
The momentum has boosted other chipmakers. Nvidia NVDA reported a 56% revenue surge to $46.74 billion, driven by demand for its Blackwell AI processors.
Meanwhile, the U.S. government deepened its commitment to domestic chipmaking, converting part of its CHIPS Act support into a $5.7 billion equity stake in Intel INTC, giving it a 10% holding while helping stabilize Intel's struggling foundry unit.
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Arm's long-term outlook. Needham's Charles Shi, Rosenblatt's Kevin Cassidy, and Goldman Sachs' James Schneider have all pointed to the company's strong position in AI and data centers.
They highlighted Arm's new Compute Subsystem (CSS) architecture, which they expect will drive higher royalties and speed customer development cycles.
Still, analysts flagged near-term risks, citing rising operating expenses, the potential strain from moving deeper into chip production, and weaker royalty growth in the smartphone business.
Management's recent guidance also signaled a softer performance in the quarters ahead.
Price Action: ARM stock is trading higher by 0.83% to $133.45 at last check Wednesday.
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