Royal Caribbean Cruises Sets Sail For Success, Analyst Praises Yield Outlook, CocoCay Investments

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  • Credit Suisse analyst Benjamin Chaiken reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL and raised the price target from $100 to $104.
  • The cruise line operator reported a Q1 sales growth of 172.4% to $2.88 billion, beating the consensus of $2.82 billion.
  • The analyst said that topline demand was better than expected and net cost controls were on display, generating significant operating leverage.
  • Net cruise costs were better than expected and was up only 5.2% versus 8.3% expectations.
  • The analyst noted bookings had outpaced ‘19 levels by a very wide margin through 1Q and into April.
  • RCL noted significantly higher pricing with strength in Caribbean.
  • The analyst opined that the company’s yield outlook for Q2 at about 10% is directionally better than its peers.
  • The analyst thinks RCL should benefit from CocoCay in ‘23, which will cater to about 3 million guests, versus about 1 million in 2019.
  • Royal Beach Club is potentially the next needle moving investment, adjacent to Atlantis in Nassau, accommodating a similar capacity to Hideaway (~1 million guests annually), opening in ‘25.
  • The analyst believes the return of China to the scene can increase supply and will likely be a tailwind in 2025.
  • Price Action: RCL shares are trading higher by 5.22% at $75.63 on the last check Friday.
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