Presto Automation To Gain Momentum From New Businesses Despite Dull Outlook, Says Analyst

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  • Chardan Capital analyst Brian Dobson reiterates a Neutral rating on the shares of Presto Automation Inc PRST with a price target of $4.25.
  • The analyst noted that the company's 2QFY23 results were mixed. PRST missed the Street, and its revised ARR (annual recurring revenue) guidance calls for a year-over-year decline, noted the analyst.
  • The company lowered its ARR guidance to $28 million to $30 million from $33 million to $35 million. The reduction is the result of a change in accounting treatment.
  • The analyst believes that PRST issued warrants to a client, which are now being treated as a cost of revenue.
  • The analyst believes the warrant grant does not impact reported F2023 results and should be fully expensed this fiscal year.
  • The management announced a $15 million cost reduction program, bringing its outlook more in line with the analyst's view.
  • 2QFY23 operating expense was $13.6 million, about 34% higher than expected, and management is using that higher run-rate as a starting point for its expense reduction goal.
  • Savings will likely come from headcount and vendor reductions, remarked the analyst.
  • Management indicated that it is in advanced contract negotiations with several potential clients and expects to announce a new agreement this year.
  • The analyst sees potential to add customers similar in size to Del Taco, or larger.
  • The analyst's model implies that PRST may achieve break-even at about $100 million of ARR, assuming 60% gross profit market and corporate expense growth.
  • The analyst expects Presto to generate $59 million of total revenue in F2025E.
  • The Checkers roll-out maintains positive momentum, and new business announcements may be on the horizon, stated the analyst.
  • The analyst remains optimistic regarding the adoption of PRST's technology, but the valuation keeps the rating at Neutral.
  • Price Action: PRST shares are trading higher by 4.23% at $3.45 on the last check Friday.
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