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Greenlight's Q4 Letter Reveals Another Tough Quarter For David Einhorn

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Greenlight's Q4 Letter Reveals Another Tough Quarter For David Einhorn

It's been a tough couple of years for value investors, and Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn has a lot of explaining to do to his investors in his Q4 letter, which was sent out Tuesday. In a year in which the S&P 500 gained 20 percent, Greenlight Capital generated just a 1.6 percent gain as the market continued to reward growth over value.

Burned By Shorts

In the fourth quarter, the S&P 500 gained 6.6 percent compared to a 1.6 percent loss for Greenlight. Einhorn’s long positions, led by General Motors Company (NYSE: GM) have been performing relatively well in recent months. However, Einhorn’s basket of short bets, which include Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT), Amazon.com, Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN), athenahealth Inc. (NASDAQ: ATHN), Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA), obliterated most of Greenlight’s gains from its long positions in 2017.

“We believe all those stocks appeared priced with little margin for error entering the year, and none executed well or met fundamental expectations in 2017,” the letter read.

Long Winners

Einhorn remains long GM and said shares are still “significantly undervalued” given stability in the auto market, the stock’s 4.4 percent dividend yield, and aggressive share buybacks, GM’s 10 percent earnings beat in 2017 and its 7x forward PE ratio.

In the fourth quarter, Greenlight’s biggest winner was Mylan NV (NASDAQ: MYL). Einhorn anticipates additional generic approvals for the company in coming months following its generic Copaxone approval in Q4.

Greenlight’s second biggest winner was CONSOL Energy, which completed its long-anticipated split of its coal-centered business, Consol Energy Inc (NYSE: CEIX), from its oil & gas business, CNX Resources Corp (NYSE: CNX). Einhorn said both companies have high-quality resources and strong growth opportunities and quality management teams.

New Positions

Greenlight also initiated a couple of new positions in Q4, most notable a “small” new position in Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR). Einhorn said Twitter’s reacceleration of user growth in late 2017 makes for a strong pitch to advertisers in 2018.

Greenlight also re-purchased a stake in Time Warner Inc (NYSE: TWX) and took new positions in ENSCO PLC (NYSE: ESV) and Brighthouse Financial Inc (NASDAQ: BHF).

Greenlight also exited long positions in the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX), Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (NYSE: HPE) and Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE: RAD) and closed a short position in Deere & Company (NYSE: DE).

Long-Term Perspective

Despite another tough quarter for Greenlight, the firm has still delivered strong overall returns for long-term investors. Since its creation in 1996, Greenlight has generated an average annual return of 15.4 percent net of fees and expenses.

Related Links:

Q3 13F Roundup: How Buffett, Einhorn, Paulson, And Others Adjusted Their Portfolio

Einhorn's Positions In HPE, Micron, Tempur Sealy Create Curious Volatility

Disclosure: the author is long CNX.

Latest Ratings for TWTR

DateFirmActionFromTo
Apr 2019GuggenheimMaintainsBuyBuy
Feb 2019BTIG ResearchMaintainsBuyBuy
Jan 2019Bank of AmericaUpgradesUnderperformBuy

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Posted-In: David Einhorn Greenlight CapitalAnalyst Color Hedge Funds Top Stories Analyst Ratings General Best of Benzinga

 

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