Market Overview

Deutsche Bank: Kroger Likely To Improve In Q2, Shares 'Attractive' Despite Competitive Pressure

Deutsche Bank: Kroger Likely To Improve In Q2, Shares 'Attractive' Despite Competitive Pressure
Related AMZN
Walmart Stays Firm In The Game, Expands Alliance With Handy
What Might The Fed Do And Say? Markets Await Interest Rate Decision
Finish Line: I'm Not Buying It (Seeking Alpha)
Related KR
The Market In 5 Minutes: Ford Upgrade, Google To Ban Crypto Ads, Bezos And Amazon
Wall Street Debates Kroger After Disappointing 2018 Outlook
Wall Street Breakfast: Saudi Crown Prince Begins U.S. Tour (Seeking Alpha)

Kroger Co (NYSE: KR) shares have dropped 11 percent since, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) bought Whole Foods in June, and the stock has been hit harder by the deal than it deserves, according to Deutsche Bank.

The Cincinnati-based grocery chain reports second-quarter results on Sept. 8.

The Amazon-Whole Foods deal has added uncertainty, though, in an environment of intense competition for Kroger from names such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc (NYSE: WMT) and discount grocers such as Aldi and Lidl, analyst Shane Higgins said in a Friday note.

Kroger is down 36.6 percent year to date.

“The Amazon/Whole Foods-related sell-off is largely overdone for Kroger, in our view, given that Whole Foods accounts for just 2 percent of the U.S. grocery market and given the limited overlap in key regions such as the Midwest,” Higgins said.


Kroger shares “look attractive” due to non-fuel ID sales and margins that Deutsche Bank expects to improve on the basis of share gains and modest inflation, the analyst said.

Deutsche Bank maintains a Buy on Kroger with a $26 price target.

The firm is projecting a Q2 EPS of 42 cents for Kroger, 2 cents above consensus but down 12 percent from the adjusted EPS of 47 cents reported one year ago.

What To Expect From Q2

Non-fuel ID sales are projected to rise 0.5 percent, according to Deutsche Bank.

Kroger is operating in an atmosphere of improving inflationary trends and is making price and incremental labor investments, Higgins said.

The chain is continuing to roll out ClickList, an online ordering service with in-store pick-up, the analyst said.

Kroger could see “noise” related to Hurricane Harvey, Higgins said: The company has 111 stores, or 4 percent of its base, in the Houston division.

Investors should watch for the following from Kroger on Sept. 9, according to Deutsche Bank:

  • Updates on fiscal 2017 guidance.
  • Updates on Kroger’s competitive landscape.
  • The effectiveness of the company’s price investments and promotions.
  • Inflationary trends and Kroger’s ability to pass-through rising costs.
  • Updates on labor costs.
  • Commentary on ClickList and Kroger’s digital initiatives.

Related Links:

Amazon Will Be A Disruptive Player In Groceries Over Next 5 Years

Amazon Can't Put All Grocery Stores Out Of Business

Latest Ratings for AMZN

Feb 2018MKM PartnersMaintainsBuyBuy
Feb 2018NomuraMaintainsBuyBuy
Feb 2018Credit SuisseMaintainsOutperformOutperform

View More Analyst Ratings for AMZN
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Analyst Color Earnings Long Ideas News Guidance Previews Reiteration Analyst Ratings Best of Benzinga


Related Articles (AMZN + KR)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!