Barclays Sees Apple Vulnerable To TAC Pressure From Google

  • Barclays analyst Tim Long says he noticed what he believes may be the first step in changing Apple Inc's AAPL "lucrative, high margin 'advertising' revenues," specifically the traffic acquisition costs. 
  • A new pop-up for the Alphabet Inc GOOG GOOGL Google Search app on the iPhone "could signal a slight change to the current relationship," Long tells investors in a research note. 
  • Like other Google TAC agreements, the economics to Apple is based on a "healthy" share on the estimated lifetime search ad revenue generated by each phone, specific to each geography, the sum of which could be about $15 billion annually, Long says. 
  • He believes Apple could be facing TAC pressure from Google and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares with a $145 price target, implying a 17% downside.
  • Price Action: AAPL shares traded higher by 0.24% at $175.50 on the last check Thursday.
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