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Data Center REITs Set For Big Growth In 2016, Analyst Predicts

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Data Center REITs Set For Big Growth In 2016, Analyst Predicts

For most enterprise organizations, IT infrastructure is kept in-house and in its early stages of a transition when it comes to outsourcing IT infrastructure to third-party data centers. As a result, there is a long-term potential avenue for growth for the data center REIT sector.

JPMorgan expects Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: DLR) to be a solid performer for 2016.

"We have a positive view of the Data Center REIT industry and believe the strong growth from 2015 can continue into 2016," JPMorgan commented in a note on Wednesday.

"Digital Realty on January 4 issued solid 2016 guidance and we look for even better growth guidance from CyrusOne Inc (NASDAQ: CONE) and QTS Realty Trust Inc (NYSE: QTS) when they report in February. Data Center REITs offer expertise regarding data center design, build, power and cooling system, land management, and security. CyrusOne remains our top pick and we are constructive on QTS," analysts noted.

JPMorgan highlighted its preference for the faster growing data center REITs.

"We like Digital Realty Trust (Digital Realty) for its scale, stability and dividend, but the company's lower growth outlook, in our view, justifies a lower multiple for the company. We look for low- to mid-double-digit growth rates in revenue, EBITDA, FFO and AFFO for CyrusOne and QTS in 2016 on a standalone basis," analysts noted.

"For Digital Realty, we look for mid-single-digit growth rates. Given Digital Realty's size and substantial wholesale revenue with long-term contracts and 2-3 percent escalators, the company's ability to grow at a faster rate looks limited near-term," the firm commented.

JPMorgan also expects the faster growth to better offset the valuation gap with tower companies and traditional REITs.

"We model Overweight-rated CyrusOne and QTS to grow revenue 18 percent and 29 percent (10 percent and 16 percent standalone) in 2016, faster than towers at 5 percent, yet CyrusOne trades at a ~3x turn AFFO discount and QTS ~1x (despite better growth) due to shorter relative contract lengths, slightly higher churn and an enterprise IT focus that leads to more abstract demand. We believe CyrusOne and QTS should trade at a premium to towers and overall REIT industry due to their solid business models and, more importantly, substantially higher growth rates," the firm commented.

Latest Ratings for CONE

DateFirmActionFromTo
Nov 2019MaintainsNeutral
Nov 2019MaintainsStrong Buy
Nov 2019DowngradesOverweightNeutral

View More Analyst Ratings for CONE
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: JPMorganAnalyst Color Long Ideas REIT Analyst Ratings Trading Ideas General Real Estate Best of Benzinga

 

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