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The GEO Group Inc
GEONYSE
GEO Group (GEO) earnings history, EPS estimates, revenue forecasts and company guidance.
Earnings Per Share (Non-GAAP)
| Fiscal Quarter | Date Reported | Actual EPS | Estimated EPS | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | Nov 5, 2026 | $0.39 | $0.35 | 11.4 % |
| Q2 | Aug 6, 2026 | $0.37 | $0.29 | 27.6 % |
| Q1 | May 6, 2026 | $0.29 | $0.19 | 52.6 % |
| Q4 | Feb 12, 2026 | $0.25 | $0.25 | 0.00 % |
Quarterly Revenue (Billions)
| Fiscal Quarter | Date Reported | Actual Revenue | Estimated Revenue | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | Nov 5, 2026 | $761.06M | $773.70M | -1.63 % |
| Q2 | Aug 6, 2026 | $732.10M | $721.28M | 1.50 % |
| Q1 | May 6, 2026 | $705.21M | $687.56M | 2.57 % |
| Q4 | Feb 12, 2026 | $707.70M | $666.00M | 6.26 % |
GEO Group (GEO) last issued guidance on November 5, 2026 for Q4 2026. The company guided earnings per share in the range of $0.35 - $0.39, compared to a consensus EPS estimate of $0.33. GEO Group also guided revenue in the range of $777M - $827M for the period.
Compared to prior guidance, GEO Group raised its EPS outlook from a previous range of $0.28 - $0.31. On the revenue side, the company raised its revenue forecast from a prior range of $758M - $808M.
GEO Group has issued 36 guidance updates between November 29, 2022 and November 5, 2026. During this period, the company raised its outlook 10 times and lowered it 15 times, providing investors with insight into management's evolving expectations.
| Metric | Q3 '26 | Q2 '26 | Q1 '26 | Q4 '25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share (Non-GAAP) | ||||
| Estimate | $0.35 | $0.29 | $0.19 | $0.25 |
| Actual | $0.39 | $0.37 | $0.29 | $0.25 |
| Surprise | +11.4% | +27.6% | +52.6% | 0.00% |
| Revenue | ||||
| Estimate | $773.7M | $721.3M | $687.6M | $666.0M |
| Actual | $761.1M | $732.1M | $705.2M | $707.7M |
| Surprise | -1.63% | +1.50% | +2.57% | +6.26% |
| Metric | Q4 '26E | Q1 '27E | Q2 '27E | Q3 '27E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share (Non-GAAP) | ||||
| Consensus | $0.38 | $0.52 | $0.55 | $0.58 |
| Revenue | ||||
| Consensus | $791.3M | $816.6M | — | — |
