Market Overview

Provinces Gear Up for Second Wave: Scotiabank Economics Q4 Provincial Outlook


TORONTO, Oct. 15, 2020 /CNW/ - Most of Canada's provinces will experience record output contractions this year because of the COVID-19 pandemic, with many not expected to recoup their losses for several years, says Scotiabank Economics in its Q4 Provincial Outlook. The report was released this morning, on the heels of Scotiabank Economics' latest Forecast Tables, published Wednesday.

"The strength of the economic rebound since the peak lockdown period earlier this year has surprised on the upside," said Marc Desormeaux, Senior Economist at Scotiabank. "However, with the arrival of a second wave and new lockdown measures to curb the virus' spread, COVID-19 continues to represent the primary forecast risk."

Highlights of Scotiabank's Provincial Outlook include:

  • COVID-19: We are in the midst of a second wave across much of Canada, and some regions have announced a new round of lockdown measures that could result in the kind of economic contractions experienced earlier this year.
  • Population Growth: After supporting hefty employment gains before the pandemic, population growth has slowed significantly amid border closures and travel restrictions.
  • Policy Support: The federal government and the provinces have introduced extraordinary measures to keep the economy afloat.
  • Industries: Tourism and oil and gas have been disproportionately impacted, while agriculture, professional, scientific and technical services have performed relatively well.

Read Scotiabank's full Provincial Outlook online here.

Scotiabank Economics provides in-depth commentary on economic, financial market and policy developments, both domestically and internationally. Follow this research on Twitter at @ScotiaEconomics.

About Scotiabank
Scotiabank is a leading bank in the Americas. Guided by our purpose: "for every future", we help our customers, their families and their communities achieve success through a broad range of advice, products and services, including personal and commercial banking, wealth management and private banking, corporate and investment banking, and capital markets. With a team of over 90,000 employees and assets of approximately $1.2 trillion (as at July 31, 2020), Scotiabank trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX:BNS) and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE:BNS). For more information, please visit our website and follow us on Twitter @ScotiabankViews.

SOURCE Scotiabank

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