Estee Lauder's Conservative Annual Guidance 'Expected,' Says This Analyst

Estee Lauder's Conservative Annual Guidance 'Expected,' Says This Analyst
  • Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey reiterated an Outperform rating on Estee Lauder Companies Inc EL with a price target of $377.00.
  • The beauty products provider reported Q4 earnings above the Street expectations.
  • Herrity said the earnings upside was driven by better sales and expense control, strong growth in the Americas, particularly brick-and-mortar, as customers continued to return to in-store shopping. 
  • The 10% revenue decline, the analyst thinks, was driven by a high-teens decline in the company’s largest category, skin care, as COVID-related restrictions/lockdowns weighed on the period. 
  • A temporary reduction in capacity at its Shanghai DC further pressured the quarter.
  • Telsey opined that the Q4 decline seems to have entirely offset high-single-digit growth through the first three-quarters of the year, resulting in a flat annual result for the category.
  • The conservative outlook provided by Estee is a prudent approach to the year ahead given the number of macro challenges and uncertainties, said the analyst.
  • A potential improvement in the travel retail channel and a return of social and work engagements could provide possible upside to the outlook.
  • Price Action: EL shares are trading higher by 1.82% at $281.56 on the last check Thursday.

Posted In: BriefsAnalyst ColorNewsPrice TargetReiterationAnalyst RatingsGeneral