2015 Rate Hike Beginning To Look Doubtful

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Earlier this year, the US Federal Reserve said it was expecting to increase interest rates before the end of 2015. However, as the year draws to a close, many analysts are beginning to push their predictions for a rate hike into next year. Economic data from the US has been soft recently, and many believe that weakness in the wider global economy is holding back the nation's recovery. For that reason, US central bankers are likely questioning their plans to raise rates in the coming months.
Weak Data
This week, the US commerce department
released data
that showed seasonally adjusted retail sales had risen just 0.1 percent in September. Without car sales included, the measure actually declined from August's numbers. Producer prices also dropped 1.1 percent from September 2014, a worrying sign for inflation. Meanwhile the US beige book
reported
"continued modest expansion" across the US, suggesting that the nation's economy was still on track to grow. However, upon closer examination, the beige book results showed that recovery across the US was uneven, with many regions of the country struggling due to a stronger dollar.
Troubles Abroad
One of the biggest factors weighing on the Fed's decision to raise interest rates has been weakness in the global economy. China is struggling to get back on track after its financial markets nosedived in August and Europe is slowly coming back from its own financial crisis. Quantitative easing in other parts of the world have driven the US dollar higher, which in turn has made it difficult for American firms to compete in the global marketplace. Not only that, but many are worried about the global implications a rate hike would have at such an uncertain time.
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