Investors Worry How Trump Tariffs Could Further Impact Companies Reliant On Chinese Suppliers: Vulnerable Stocks 'Have Underperformed' This Year

Zinger Key Points
  • Stocks vulnerable to tariffs have underperformed as betting markets become more confident in a Trump presidency.
  • Meta, Qualcomm and Applied Materials are listed as companies reliant on international suppliers.

2024 U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump has made headlines with his bold suggestion to replace income taxes with tariffs on foreign goods. Trump’s policy, which has received near-unanimous skepticism from market experts, has already heavily impacted stocks dependent on the Chinese market.

The Data: A post on X used data from Goldman Sachs and Bloomberg to compare the market’s confidence in Trump winning the November election and the performance of companies reliant on Chinese suppliers.

As the betting market odds of a Trump presidency have increased since October 2023, stocks with U.S. suppliers have outperformed stocks with Chinese suppliers by a substantial margin.

Trump’s election odds bottomed out in early October at just under 40% and now sit just under 55%, according to the post. Since then, indexed stocks with U.S. suppliers have outperformed indexed stocks with Chinese suppliers by over 15%. It topped out over 25% in March.

Why it Matters: Goldman Sachs listed companies that stand the most to gain — or lose — by a second Trump term.

CVS Health Corp CVS, Verizon Communications Inc. VZ and Intuit Inc INTU are among the largest constituents of Goldman Sachs' Domestic Sales Basket.

Meta Platforms Inc. META, Qualcomm Inc. QCOM and Applied Materials Inc. AMAT are among the largest constituents in Goldman’s International Sales Basket.

Many prominent figures in the business world have pushed back against the notion that Trump is better for the U.S. economy than President Joe Biden, including LinkedIn Founder Reid Hoffman. At the same time, others such as Cathie Wood have thrown their hats into the ring for Trump.

Also Read: Economist Dismisses AI Bubble Fears: Says Disruptive Technologies Might ‘Be Antidote To The Headwinds Of Today’

Photo: Shutterstock

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Posted In: AsiaGovernmentRegulationsPoliticsGlobalEconomicsChinaDonald TrumpStories That MattertariffsTrump Tariffs
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