Market Overview

Citi On Autos: Factoring In Changes In Forex, Downgrades Toyota, Mazda

Citi On Autos: Factoring In Changes In Forex, Downgrades Toyota, Mazda
Related TM
Should You Steer Clear Of Auto ETFs And Stocks?
Toyota Posts February Sales Increases, GM, Ford, FCA Fall Short
U.S. safety agencies probe first self-driving death (Seeking Alpha)
Related MZDAF
Trump's Border Tax: Which Auto Makers Are Most At Risk?
April Auto Sales Set Up Strong, AutoData Figures Confirm

The recent strength of the yen versus European currencies has impacted the competitiveness of Japan-made vehicles “by more than the fall in profits via forex sensitivity,” Citi’s Arifumi Yoshida said in a report. He downgraded the ratings on Toyota Motor Corp (NYSE: TM) and Mazda Motor Corp (OTCMKTS: MZDAF) from Buy to Neutral.

“We no longer think non-forex fundamentals are favorable, and factor in fundamentals deterioration,” analyst Yoshida wrote.


The price target has been reduced from ¥6,300 to ¥6,000. Yoshida believes that the yen strength would have a negative impact on the premium Lexus segment, which is mainly manufactured in Japan.

Related Link: Delphi And Mobileye Create "Win-Win" Partnership

Although Toyota does have the ability to cope with “a long-term paradigm shift in the auto industry,” there does not seem to be any near-term undervaluation. The analyst added, “Up ahead, C-HR and Camry appeal and sales (measures of TNGA competitiveness) could hold the key to a re-rating.”


The price target has been reduced from ¥2,500 to ¥1,600. Mazda has substantial exposure to Europe, and has a high ratio of exports from Japan. “We fear benefits from the extra supply capacity for the CX series created by domestic production rearrangements will be offset by lower competitiveness stemming from yen strength,” Yoshida commented.

Do you have ideas for articles/interviews you'd like to see more of on Benzinga? Please email with your best article ideas. One person will be randomly selected to win a $20 Amazon gift card!

Latest Ratings for TM

Mar 2018Bank of AmericaUpgradesUnderperformNeutral
Jul 2017Bank of AmericaDowngradesNeutralUnderperform
Sep 2016Goldman SachsDowngradesBuyNeutral

View More Analyst Ratings for TM
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Arifumi Yoshida CitiAnalyst Color Downgrades Price Target Travel Analyst Ratings General Best of Benzinga


Related Articles (TM + MZDAF)

View Comments and Join the Discussion!