The tight 2024 presidential race that is widely predicted by several opinion polls was confirmed by yet another on Wednesday.
The Match-Ups: President Joe Biden led Donald Trump by two points in a nationwide survey by NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist. The president had the support of 50% of the registered voters, two points more than the 48% Trump received. The count included those undecided voters, who were asked to pick one based on which way they would be leaning toward.
Biden’s lead over Trump increased when the preference of only those who said they would definitely vote was factored in. The former scored 52% compared to the latter’s 47%.
The poll conducted between April 22 and 26 surveyed 1199 adults, including 1,109 registered voters, with the margin of error at +/-3.7 percentage points.
Voters having unfavorable opinions about both candidates, called “double haters” were evenly divided, with 45% supporting Biden and 46% Trump.
Trump has gained ground among independents, as his support increased from 49% to 51%, while Biden’s support in this category fell from 49% to 44%.
In a multi-candidate fray, Biden and Trump were deadlocked with 42% support each. In the previous poll, Biden had a five-point lead over Trump when independent and third-party candidates were included on the ballot. The recent poll showed 11% support for Robert Kennedy Jr. and 2% each for Cornel West and Jill Stein.
“Voters are dissatisfied with the major party candidates for president. Although this could open the door for a third-party candidate, no one is filling the void,” says Lee Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion.
Poor Approval Rating: Biden and Trump had an unfavorable score of 54% and 56%, respectively. The president’s job approval rating was at an anemic 41%.
“Americans are skeptical of the messages both candidates are communicating,” the pollster said. Only 35% of Americans said the things Biden tells the American people are mostly true. A more modest 30% said Trump mostly tells Americans things that are true while 39%.
Americans were also not overly optimistic about the fate of democracy with either of the candidates.
The percentage of Republicans who said the former president engaged in something unethical but not illegal increased from 34% in February to 46% currently. The proportion who said Trump did something illegal remained unchanged at 8%, while the share of GOP voters saying Trump has done nothing wrong fell from 55% to 45%.
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