Reborn Coffee's Long Runway For Growth Prompts This Analyst To Be Bullish On The Stock

  • EF Hutton analyst Michael Albanese initiated coverage of Reborn Coffee Inc REBN with a Buy rating with a price target of $5.50.
  • The analyst said the market for retail coffee is large, with little total market growth. 
  • He added that specialty coffee products continue to take market share and are a large driver of expected future growth as consumer preferences shift towards more carefully crafted coffee beverages.
  • The company has nine company-owned retail coffee locations, with five under development.
  • Albanese estimates REBN will have 30 retail stores in a few years, producing upwards of $1.0 million in sales per store with nearly 20% store-level EBITDA margins and accelerating momentum in its franchising operations.
  • He believes that its current enterprise value of $14.7 million does not properly reflect the opportunities facing the company today and that Reborn, with modest assumptions about its growth plans, is worth closer to $60.0 million.
  • Through 1H22, comparable sales have increased 75% Y/Y. Store-level EBITDA turned positive and improved to 3.8% in 2021 as newly open stores reached profitability and negative impacts from COVID subsided.
  • The analyst expects REBN to improve store-level margins to 20% in the longer term.
  • As consumer preferences gear towards premium quality coffee, driven by improvements in bean sourcing/harvesting and technologies around processing/roasting, the company’s diversified supply chain, unique washing process, and innovative brewing technologies could stand to benefit from the fourth wave of coffee production and a consumer shift towards premium products.
  • Capital expenditure, the need for additional funds, inflation, and supply chain pressures are some of the risks in the business.
  • Price Action: REBN shares are trading higher by 4.72% at $1.33 on the last check Thursday.
  • Photo Via Company
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