By winning the Iowa Straw Poll event, did Michele Bachmann doom her candidacy? History suggests so.
The Republican Party in Iowa has been doing the Ames, Iowa Straw Poll since 1979. In the 30+ years of taking the poll, only once (George Bush, 2000) has the winner of the straw poll gone on to win the nomination and the presidency.
The list of winners of the Iowa Straw Poll is a who's who conglomeration of crazy and mostly unelectable candidates (at times) and relatively moderate candidates at other times. It's a strange mix of extreme social conservatives one year and middle-of-the-road candidates the next.
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- 1988 Election: Televangelist Pat Robertson won the 1987 Iowa Straw Poll, but lost the Iowa Caucuses to the more electable Bob Dole. Neither man won the nomination, though, as Vice President Bush topped the 1988 ticket. Eventual nominee George H.W. Bush finished third in the straw poll.
- 1996 Election: Bob Dole and Phil Gramm tied the 1995 Iowa Straw Poll, with each man gathering 2,582 votes. Dole went on to win the Iowa Caucuses and was the party's nominee in the 1996 election. Dole, who picked Jack Kemp as his running mate, lost the 1996 election to Bill Clinton.
- 2000 Election: George W. Bush won the 1999 Iowa Straw Poll, twenty years after his father pulled off his first win in Iowa. Bush went on to win the Iowa Caucuses and was awarded the presidency in 2000.
- 2008 Election: Mitt Romney won the 2007 Iowa Straw Poll, largely because he was the only top candidate who bothered to try hard. It didn't give him much momentum though, and Mike Huckabee ended up winning the Iowa Caucuses. Huckabee eventually lost the nomination to John McCain, who in turn lost to Barack Obama in the general election. Eventual nominee John McCain finished tenth in the straw poll, mostly because he skipped the event entirely.
- U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.): 4,823 votes
- U.S. Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas): 4,671 votes
- Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty: 2,293 votes
- Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum (R-Pa.): 1,657 votes
- Former Godfather's Pizza CEO Herman Cain: 1,456 votes
- Texas Governor Rick Perry: 718 votes
- Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney: 567 votes
- Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich: 385 votes
- Former Utah governor Jon Huntsman: 69 votes
- U.S. Rep Thad McCotter (R-Mich.): 35 votes
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
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Posted In: NewsMovers & ShakersPoliticsGeneral2012 ElectionGOPIowa straw pollMichele BachmannMitt RomneyRon Paul
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