Higher Rates vs. Q3 Earnings

Good Morning Everyone!

Remember, in the short-term there's always a reason to sell. But we’re not short-term players.


Price as of 4 pm EST, 10/19/22; % YTD


MARKET UPDATE

10Y yield: hit year-to-date highs

Fed Pivot? Maybe Pause?

  • Bullard expects the Fed to end its front loading of hikes by next year

U.K Prime Minister Liz Truss is stepping down as UK Prime Minister

  • Shortest-serving leader in British history

Crude 86 +1%

  • Crude higher on news the Chinese government debating whether to reduce time people visiting the country have to spend in quarantine

  • Investors called Biden’s plan to buy oil at $70 to return to the SPR “Biden Put”

  • Energy companies can invest knowing they will get at least $70

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)    

  • Elon: “demand “a little harder” near term but Tesla not concerned

  • Elon talked about recessions in China and Europe (U.S. pretty good)

  • Auto gross margins missed

Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP)     

  • $3.19 vs. street $3.06

  • Reducing fiscal year carload growth from 4-5% to 3%

  • As Elon said: “demand/volumes a little harder near term”

  • CSX reports tonight

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)

Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM)

Hermes               

Earnings

CRYPTO UPDATE

FTX (CRYPTO: FTT) recovery plan for Voyager

Plaid launches first web3 product

  • “Wallet Onboard”

  • Simple integration to +300 Ethereum wallets

  • Exploring more product offerings in web3 space, other blockchains

  • Replicating existing products in web3 (ex: identity verification)

Bitcoin Fear & Greed


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