Burlington Best Suited To Benefit From Inventory Supply, Says Analyst

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  • Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares of Burlington Stores BURL with a price target of $250.
  • The company reported Q4 EPS of $2.96 versus $2.53 last year, coming in above the consensus of $2.73 and guidance of $2.45-$2.75.
  • The earnings upside was driven by stronger topline growth, while gross margin was in-line and SG&A expenses came in a bit higher than expected, said the analyst.
  • The 4Q22 operating margin expanded 80 basis points to 10.0%, coming in above the consensus estimate of up 50 basis points to 9.7%.
  • The analyst said Burlington’s FY23 sales guide is above expectations, but EPS appears conservative.
  • On the heels of sequential improvement in comps throughout Q4, management noted that this trend has continued into February, reflecting improved conversion, basket size, and traffic early in FY23.
  • The analyst added that BURL continues to deliver value in its assortment that is resonating with the customer by capitalizing on a favorable off-price buying environment as well as a still uncertain macro environment and unpredictable consumer spending habits.
  • While near-term challenges persist for the lower-income consumer, the analyst continues to see BURL as well-positioned to capitalize on a beneficial inventory supply for the off-price channel that can support continued growth in FY23.
  • Price Action: BURL shares traded higher by 1.45% at $215.07 on Thursday.
  • Photo Via Wikimedia Commons
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