Wix.com's New Business, Pricing Power Likely To Contribute To FCF, Analyst Says

  • RBC Capital analyst Brad Erickson upgraded Wix.com Ltd WIX from Sector Perform to Outperform and raised the price target from $80 to $100.
  • The re-rating reflected lightly raised estimates, more appropriately reflecting price increases. 
  • The analyst saw WIX as a solid defensive play benefiting from the structurally higher new business formation (NBF) against pre-COVID while exerting its pricing power for its sticky subscription business. 
  • Erickson estimate WIX has ~30% and ~80% of its price increases yet to flow through in '23 on subscription collections & revenue, respectively, significantly limiting downside risk to estimates. 
  • The company has pricing power where it can likely sustainably raise prices every 3-4 years going forward. 
  • The analyst believes structurally higher NBF vs. pre-COVID is primarily here to stay. 
  • Digital solutions for enabling business formation have never been more abundant where WIX nicely attaches to the creator economy theme along with a potential countercyclical play on outsized tech job losses. 
  • The analyst liked WIX's differentiated focus on product development, particularly for Ecom solutions, where the opportunity to grow and gain share in agency channels and from WordPress remains significant. 
  • The analyst noted that Wix is on the path toward significant & underappreciated FCF growth over the next several years.
  • Price Action: WIX shares traded higher by 2.64% at $80.17 on the last check Thursday.
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