Market Overview

Oppenheimer Bullish On Nvidia, Cautious On AMD, Intel

Oppenheimer Bullish On Nvidia, Cautious On AMD, Intel

Semiconductor stocks have taken a hit in recent weeks on concerns that the U.S. trade war with China could exacerbate an already cyclically soft market. One Wall Street analyst met with management teams from top semiconductor companies this week and said there is a clear winner among the group.

The Analyst

Oppenheimer analyst Rick Schafer reiterated the following ratings and price targets for semiconductor stocks:

  • NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), Outperform rating, $190 target.
  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD), Perform rating.
  • Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC), Perform rating.

The Thesis

For Nvidia, Schafer said the stock remains Oppenheimer’s top pick among large-cap growth stocks.

“The tone of the meeting was confident, highlighting NVDA's leading position in core DC AI, gaming and autonomous growth verticals,” Schafer said in a Thursday note. (See his track record here.) 

Nvidia's revenue has returned to growth following the clearance of excess cryptocurrency mining inventory, the analyst said. Data center growth has cooled, but management is projecting inference will be a $20-billion market by 2023, he said.

Nvidia’s autonomous vehicle opportunity could be worth roughly $5,000 per robotaxi, Schafer said. 

For Intel, Schafer said the company is bullish on Internet of Things opportunities, but the analyst said IoT remains a relatively small part of Intel’s business.

“At ~5% of sales, the group remains relatively small and an unlikely offset to headwinds in other areas of INTC's business, most notably growing share loss to AMD in PC and server CPU related to long-standing 10nm delays and CPU shortages." 

Investors can find better growth and capital allocation opportunities elsewhere for the time being, the analyst said. 

AMD investors are eagerly anticipating the imminent release of a series of new products, including the 7nm CPU Rome server chips, Ryzen PC chips and the new 7nm Vega GPU hardware.

AMD has made tremendous strides with its latest tech, and its share gains from Intel are real, Schafer said.

Unfortunately, with the stock up 74% in 2019 and trading at about 34 times calendar 2020 EPS estimates, the analyst said it’s tough to recommend the stock.

"We see a high bar for upside with significant share gains in PC/Server already baked in, and we remain sidelined for now." 

Price Action

The three stocks mentioned were trading as follows Thursday morning: 

  • Nvidia was up 0.66%. 
  • Intel was up 0.89%. 
  • AMD was down 1.83%. 

Related Links:

Bullish Semiconductor Options Trades Suggest Trade War Fears Might Be Overblown

Rosenblatt: AMD Will Be 'Much Bigger Player In High-End GPU Gaming'

Latest Ratings for AMD

Nov 2019DowngradesOutperformMarket Perform
Nov 2019MaintainsOutperform
Nov 2019MaintainsNeutral

View More Analyst Ratings for AMD
View the Latest Analyst Ratings

Posted-In: Oppenheimer Rick SchaferAnalyst Color Cryptocurrency Price Target Reiteration Markets Analyst Ratings Best of Benzinga


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