Aegis app tracker data for Netflix, Inc. NFLX and Pandora Media Inc P showed very strong usage trends in the fourth quarter, and both companies have reported above consensus financial results (Pandora pre-announced).
Now, analyst Victor Anthony takes a look at what the data implies for other internet companies that have yet to report their fourth-quarter numbers.
Investors should note that the apps do not capture mobile website activity and desktop activity, and these continue to constitute a meaningful portion of revenues for several companies.
Internet Stocks Still To Report
Following are the implications of the data on various internet firms along with their earnings dates:
- Very Positive, with strength on all metrics and on both app platforms. But, this is Amazon’s seasonally strong quarter, so those results are expected.
- Looks Negative. In both iOS and Google Play, downloads, DAUs and MAUs declined month-over-month, in what should be a seasonally strong quarter.
- Overall Positive. In iOS, November was a standout month across all three metrics, while in Google Play, December was the standout month.
- Overall Positive. Downloads, MAUs and DAUs were all solid in the quarter. For Instagram, app downloads were strong on both mobile platforms, and in Google Play, MAUs and DAUs were solid.
- “However, we did see a softening of MAUs and DAUs in iOS,” Anthony wrote in a note.
- Looks Negative. In Google Play, downloads, DAUs and MAUs declined month-over-month in every month of the quarter in what should be a seasonally stronger quarter. In iOS, the trends were similar but the declines were less pronounced.
- Looks Positive. In iOS, app traffic held steady in each month of the quarter. However, in Google Play, app traffic was lumpy with November being a particularly strong month.
- Positive. All metrics on iOS and Google Play were very strong for Tinder, in what is a seasonally weak quarter for online dating. App downloads, DAUs, MAUs and ARPU was up strongly in the fourth quarter.
- Mixed. The data showed healthy app traffic trends in iOS but trends softened in the last two months of the quarter in Google Play.
- Overall Positive. In iOS, the data showed a dip in November app usage and a recovery over and above in December across all the metrics. In Google Play, December was a particularly strong month across all the metrics.
- Very Positive. App downloads, MAUs and DAUs were up nicely in each month of 4Q. While this is expected due to seasonality, it is notable given that competition is elevated during the holiday season.
- Very Positive. App downloads, MAUs and DAUs have been exceptionally strong on both app platforms.
- Mixed to Positive. On Google Play, DAUs and MAUs declined in November over October and in December over November. In iOS, both metrics held steady throughout the months of the quarter.
- Mixed to Negative. In iOS, November app traffic was stronger than October, but December was weaker than both November and October. Google Play also showed similar trends.
- Mixed. Very healthy app traffic trends for The Knot in iOS, but softening was seen throughout the quarter on Google Play for downloads, MAUs and DAUs.
- Mixed to Negative. In iOS, app downloads increased month-over-month. However, both MAUs and DAUs softened in the last two months of 4Q. The story was gloomy in Google Play, where downloads, DAUs and MAUs declined month-over-month.
- Very Positive. In both iOS and Play, Downloads, MAUs, DAUs and monetization were up in each month of the quarter and that strength has continued into the current quarter. YouTube has shown one of the strongest trends of all the apps that Aegis is tracking.
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