- Earnings season is set to kick off soon with macro and global concerns in focus./li>
- Richard Schafer of Oppenheimer commented on the technology group, noting he hasn't seen any signs of further deterioration.
- Schafer is expecting the group to post "roughly in-line" third quarter results, with a "downside bias."
Earnings season is set to kick off shortly as investors and traders continue to weigh what impact the slowing global economy and domestic macro headwinds will have on the technology sector.
In a report published Wednesday, Oppenheimer analyst Rich Schafer commented that despite negative headlines, he hasn't seen any signs of further deterioration in the technology group. As such, the analyst is expecting the group to post "roughly in-line 3Q results" although with a "downside bias."
"We believe investors anticipate a negative bias to estimates, with less dramatic cuts vs last quarter (think scalpel vs hatchet)," Schafer wrote. "In our view, larger cuts this earnings season could help re-establish investor faith in potential earnings upside. That said, we expect most will opt for more modest cuts given limited visibility."
Here are Schafer's key themes ahead of earnings season.
Schafer stated that RF content remains "one of our favorite" growth themes with companies like
Avago Technologies Ltd AVGO and
Skyworks Solutions Inc SWKS benefiting from increased iPhone content and potential mid and high-band PADs in other SKUs.
The analyst moved on to automotive, noting that the sector remains "one of the most attractive" end markets over the long term in semiconductors with content growth outpacing automotive units by a factor of two to three over the next decade-plus.
Freescale Semiconductor Ltd FSL and
NXP Semiconductors NV NXPI are "best positioned" while the sector as a whole is unlikely to be "materially" disrupted from the Volkswagen emission scandal and auto sales concerns in China.
Schafer stated the PC market will remain "muted at best" with a five percent decrease in units shipped in 2015. This will weigh on
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. AMD,
Intel Corporation INTC, and
VIDIA Corporation NVDA.
Finally, there is "little evidence" of a spending uptick within China's communications segment. The analyst did however add that the country (and other large markets like India) are just beginning to move toward 4G and reacceleration of wireless capex is a "matter of when, not if." Meanwhile, any pickup in carrier capex before the end of the year (as seen in Q4 2013) would offer upside to names including Freescale Semiconductor,
Cavium Inc CAVM, and
Analog Devices, Inc. ADI
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