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BMO's Top 10 Topics For Large-Cap Financials This Earnings Season

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With large-cap financials set to release Q1 earnings this week, analysts at BMO Capital Markets issued a report that included their top 10 topics for financial stocks this earnings season. Here’s what they say that investors should be looking for:

1. Deferred Tax Assets

Analysts see growth in capital resulting from ongoing release of deferred tax assets that are excluded from regulatory capital ratios.

2. End Of Litigation?

Analysts forecast capital growth coming from normalization of Financial Crisis-linked litigation for banks such as Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C), Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC) and JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM).

3. Capital Ratio Thresholds

Analysts expect that a third of the big banks under their coverage will be inadequately capitalized by the end of 2016. They name Bank of America and The Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) as two banks that will face particular difficulties meeting regulatory requirements.

Related Link: Poll: What's Your Favorite Big Bank Stock Before Earnings?

4. Strong Dollar Headwinds Continue To Blow

The importance of international business and the roll-off of forex hedges will be topics of concern for investors of Visa Inc (NYSE: V) and MasterCard Inc (NYSE: MA).

5. Real Regulatory Risk Versus Headline Risk

Analysts see real risk from new regulation for installment lenders, but not for student lenders.

6. Subprime Auto Lending

Analysts see increasing originations, higher margins and lower provisions for Santander Consumer USA Holdings Inc (NYSE: SC).

7. Trading Hinges On FICC

Trading income will be heavily dependent on fixed income, currencies and commodities, as volatility has been extreme throughout Q1.

8. Dynamic Income Sources

Analysts forecast weakness in net interest income and relative strength in fees.

9. M&A Activity

Analysts expect CIT Group Inc’s (NYSE: CIT) acquisition of OneWest and Springleaf Holdings Inc’s (NYSE: LEAF) acquisition of OneMain to close in 3Q15.

10. Co-Brand Card Competition

Analysts predict that investors will see the impacts of co-brand contracts in American Express Co’s (NYSE: AXP) Q1 results.

Disclosure: the author owns shares of Bank of America.

Latest Ratings for C

DateFirmActionFromTo
Feb 2018DZ BankUpgradesHoldBuy
Feb 2018Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweightOverweight
Jan 2018Vertical GroupDowngradesBuyHold

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