In a report published Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets reiterated its Market Perform rating on Louisiana-Pacific Corporation LPX, and raised its price target from $18.00 to $24.00.
BMO Capital Markets noted, “In 2012, U.S. housing starts surged an estimated 26.4% to 0.77 mm. According to Random Lengths, Southern OSB prices are $380/000 sf, the highest level since 2004. We estimate the installed operating rate at about 90%. There are five OSB mills totalling 3.3 billion sf (12% supply) starting up during 2013. Based on our estimated 0.9 mm housing starts, we expect operating rates to fall back to the 85% range. Our panel price forecast is $280/000 sf for 2013 and $265/000 sf for 2014. The increase in earnings is owing to 20% higher sales volumes. LPX is starting up a total 1.13 billion sf at two mills. We have assumed a gradual start-up.”
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation closed on Tuesday at $20.95.
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