Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) stock is up over 15% over the past five days on the heels of Vice President JD Vance‘s artificial intelligence deregulation speech at the AI Action Summit in Paris.
But can this AI-powered boost keep Intel's rally alive, or will the company's fundamentals remain a mixed bag?
Intel Stock Chart Bullish, But Analysts Stay Bearish
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Intel stock is breaking out technically, with its stock price ($22.53) soaring above key moving averages, including the eight-day simple moving average (SMA), 20-day and 50-day SMAs. The RSI at 66.51 suggests buying pressure is strong, and the MACD indicator, a positive 0.19, flashes a ‘bullish' signal.
Yet, despite this bullish technical setup, analysts aren't convinced. The latest calls from JPMorgan, Stifel and Truist Securities peg Intel stock’s fair value at just $21.67 on average, implying a 4% downside from here.
Read Also: Taiwan Semiconductor Could Be The Lifeline Intel Needs As Rumors Swirl Of A US-Backed Joint Venture
Geopolitical Tailwinds: How Much Can They Help?
Vance's remarks at the AI summit gave Intel a clear geopolitical tailwind. The former venture capitalist pledged to block foreign adversaries from stealing AI tech, seemingly giving Intel — a national security asset — a boost in the eyes of traders.
But Intel's long-term battle isn't with policy — it's with Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Broadcom Inc (NASDAQ:AVGO). Both companies continue to outpace it in the AI arms race.
Can Intel Sustain The Momentum?
With Intel still struggling to regain market share after a brutal 60% sell-off last year, investors need more than just a political soundbite to stay bullish. The company is burning through cash with its ambitious U.S. chip manufacturing plans, and the interim leadership team has yet to prove it can execute a turnaround.
For now, the technicals favor the bulls, but the broader narrative still favors the skeptics.
Intel's stock may have caught a Vance-induced gust of wind, but without a clear AI breakthrough, it could be running on borrowed time.
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