This should be a cause of concern for the Democrats, as this demographic group had a huge role in Biden’s 2020 victory.
The drop in turnout interest was more among younger Black people, who, according to the pollster are typically less enthusiastic about Biden.
The drop in enthusiasm is notable among Black women, who have been the backbone of the Democratic Party. The poll finds 41% of Black people, aged 18 to 39 years, were certain to vote this year, down from 61% in June 2020. Among women in the group, turnout interest dropped from 69% to 39% this year.
Moving over to voting intention, 74% of Black registered voters said they would “definitely” or “probably” vote for Biden. Far less than 14% said they would definitely or probably support Trump, a slight improvement from his performance in 2020.
Twenty percent say they would probably or definitely vote for Robert Kennedy Jr, 4% said the same for professor and activist Cornel West and 9% said they would at least probably vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein. But only 1% said they would “definitely vote for” any of the third-party candidates.
Follow-up interviews by the pollster showed that voters harped on several issues for their apathetic attitude toward voting in general and toward Biden. These include sub-par performance with respect to criminal justice, police and voting rights reforms that he campaigned on. Voters also mentioned the president’s handling of the conflict in the Middle East, which they termed either as a moral disaster or as a conflict that has soaked up U.S. money.
Respondents also said they and their near- and dear ones have been impacted by ballooning costs of groceries, gas and other goods.
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