Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:MSFT) co-founder Bill Gates warned that artificial intelligence is advancing at a pace that “surprises” even him, creating uncertainty about when AI might replace human workers across industries.
What Happened: “It’s improving at a rate that surprises me,” Gates said. The tech pioneer highlighted AI’s growing research capabilities, noting he regularly tests complex questions on AI systems that deliver comprehensive summaries.
Gates emphasized the unpredictable nature of AI’s trajectory. “AI today can replace human work, the most complex coding tasks, it’s not able to do yet. And people in the field disagree: is that within the next year or two, or is it more like ten years away?”
The technology has rapidly evolved from basic email composition to generating functional code. Gates noted AI already handles administrative roles like telesales but struggles with more complex tasks, though that gap is narrowing quickly.
Goldman Sachs estimates AI could impact 300 million full-time jobs globally, but industry analysis suggests mass redefinition rather than replacement.
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