Luminar Technologies Q2 FY2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Luminar Technologies, Inc. LAZR reported its second-quarter financial results after the closing bell on Tuesday.

Below are the transcripts from the second quarter earnings call.

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OPERATOR

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Luminar Technologies Second Quarter Financial Update Call. At this time all participants are in a listen only mode. Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Yarden Amsalem, Head of Investor Relations.

Yarden Amsalem (Head of Investor Relations)

Thank you Josh and welcome everyone. With me today are Paul Ricci, Luminar’s Chief Executive Officer and Tom Fennimore, our Chief Financial Officer. As a quick reminder, you can find the press release and presentation that accompanied this call at investors.luminartech.com in a moment you will hear remarks from Paul and Tom followed by a Q and A session. Before we begin the prepared remarks and Q and A, let me remind everyone that during the call we may refer to GAAP and non GAAP financial measures. Today’s discussion also contains forward looking statements based on the environment as we currently see today. As such, it does include risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our press release and presentation for more information on the specific risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially. With that, I’d like to introduce Luminar CEO Paul Ricci.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us. Since stepping into this role two months ago, it has become clear to me that Luminar has leading technology and exceptional talent. But in order to realize our full potential, we must also operate with greater focus and discipline. We’ve taken steps to align our strategy, resources and execution so that we enable sustainable progress toward our long term goals. Our job now is to ensure that Luminar is not just leading on technology, but also on execution. As we look ahead, there are four key messages I want to leave with you. First, Luminar has unsurpassed technology and a significant opportunity ahead in the Automotive Market as OEMs move to incorporate autonomous driving technologies and advanced safety features more comprehensively. Nearly every global automaker recognizes LIDAR as an essential technology, especially to unlock level three and beyond. And Luminar is already working with some of the leading OEMs, including Volvo, Nissan and Mercedes. We remain focused on meeting their program milestones and delivering the quality and performance they expect. We believe this performance will position us well to secure additional production awards. Accordingly, in Q2 we achieved a major technical milestone with the key OEM successfully demonstrating our ability to detect objects as small as 8 cm at distances of over 175 meters. This is a critical requirement on the path to production readiness and to our knowledge in industry best, this capability now moving from control validation to public road testing underscores why high performance LIDAR is essential to enabling safe and reliable autonomy. In parallel, we continue to consolidate efforts around Halo. Halo is designed to take our LIDAR technology mainstream, delivering industry leading range point density, size, cost and a form factor optimized for seamless integration and scalable production. We see Halo as the key to broader LIDAR adoption, enabling Safer, more capable L3 solutions and significantly expanding our addressable market. We continue to work closely with our OEM partners on our joint Halo development programs in an effort to bring Halo to market as quickly as possible. With that said, widespread adoption of L3 and higher autonomy is progressing more slowly than expected, which leads to my second point. While we remain committed to our OEM customers in the long term automotive use case, we’re placing a sharper focus on near term revenue and profit opportunities in commercial markets such as trucking, security and defense. We’re seeing momentum in these sectors where autonomy and physical space analytics are advancing quickly. The unit economics are more attractive. So rather than waiting for the L3 automotive market to further materialize, we’re acting now to pursue these commercial opportunities in defense. For example, we’ve already built a good foundation both technologically and commercially. Our 1550 nanometer lidar technology was originally developed for military applications due to its long range performance in adverse weather and stealth capabilities. Unlike 905 nanometer lidar, our sensors remain invisible to traditional silicon based cameras, a crucial capability for covert operations. In fact, today we’re already working with customers on autonomous ground based military vehicle programs. We believe that these engagements not only validate our differentiated technology but but also lay the groundwork for broader adoption across the defense sector. We’re also seeing growing momentum across aerial and marine applications. Air and sea drones have historically relied upon camera and GPS for navigation. But with GPS jamming becoming more prevalent, the industry is looking to LIDAR for positioning and situational awareness. These are just two of the examples of the opportunities we’re pursuing. My third point is that we are rigorously reviewing the business to increase operational discipline and reduce operating expenses and cash burn. Specifically, we are exiting non core initiatives like our data and insurance businesses, areas that are not aligned with our near term priorities or paths to scale. These actions are expected to reduce operating expenses by nearly $23 million in gross rate run annual savings in 2026. We anticipate seeing the initial impact of these savings in Q4 with the full benefit reflected in our 2026 financials. We’re also restructuring our supply chain to improve unit economics and support our customer programs more cost efficiently. As Ceres production forecasts declined significantly over the last year, we’ve determined that our existing Mexico based manufacturing is no longer the best fit. As a result, we’re transitioning production to Thailand where we already produce our sub component assembly. This move enables us to streamline operations and consolidate production under one roof. We expect no disruption to customer deliveries and anticipate a benefit of a few hundred dollars per sensor to our unit economics once the transition is complete. Fourth, I’d like to highlight the meaningful progress we made this quarter to strengthen our balance sheet. This has been and will remain a top priority to ensure we have the financial flexibility we need to execute our strategy. In fact, since August of last year, we’ve reduced the face value of our 2026 convertible notes by approximately $442 million. This quarter has been no different as we continue taking steps to further enhance our financial position and to reduce our debt burden, which Tom will cover in more detail shortly. Now I’d like to briefly comment on our financial performance this quarter and our revised 2025 guidance which is affected by two primary factors. Number one, we’ve seen a continued reduction in production volume estimates, particularly for the AX90 program. This has negatively affected both our Q2 revenue and our outlook for 2025. For context, IHS forecasts for the AX90 have declined by approximately 15,000 units since the beginning of the year, which roughly aligns with the reduction of our 2025 shipment expectations. And number two, as I previously mentioned, we’ve made the strategic decision to exit non core areas of the business, including winding down the data contracts. While this will help lower our operating expenses, it also negatively impacts our near term revenue. Together, these factors explain the sequential decline in revenue as well as the adjustment to our full year outlook. Tom will cover these topics in greater detail. With that, I’d like to finish by discussing our operating milestones. In the past, we outlined a set of high level milestones to guide our long term vision. While those still inform our core priorities, we’ve introduced a new set of four specific actionable milestones. These better reflect where the business stands today and give our stakeholders a more tangible way to track our progress. First, we plan to complete the initial tape out of our next generation ASIC by the end of this year. Our custom ASIC is a foundational component of our long term product roadmap and is critical to unlocking Halo’s higher performance and cost reduction. Second, we expect to launch a high volume production line in Thailand before the end of this year. As I mentioned earlier, this transition will better align our manufacturing footprint with our near term expected production volumes and support our sensor economics. Third, we plan to launch our Halo low volume prototype production line in the first quarter of 2026. This line will serve as a foundation for scaling to high volume production. When ready, it represents a significant step toward bringing Halo into production and validating its manufacturability. And fourth, we’re working toward delivering Halo B samples in the first half of 2026. This milestone will serve as a key validation point for our product maturity and readiness for industrialization. Together, these milestones form a clear execution roadmap and we’re committed to delivering against them. Now I’d like to pass it over to Tom to discuss Q2 financials.

Tom Fennimore (Chief Financial Officer)

Thank you, Paul. I want to start with an update on our capital structure. During the quarter, we secured a $200 million convertible preferred facility to strengthen our liquidity and extend our runway. At the initial closing in May, we issued $35 million of convertible preferred stock. Under this facility, we can issue additional tranches of up to $35 million every 98 days, subject to customary closing conditions. Shortly after the initial closing, we repurchased $50 million in face amount of our 2026 convertible notes for 1.1 million shares and $30 million in cash funded from the initial draw. Pro forma for this repurchase, approximately $135 million of the 2026 notes remain outstanding, down from $625 million a year ago, representing meaningful progress in reducing our near term debt obligations. Our target is to reduce the remaining outstanding balance of our 2026 notes to below $100 million by the end of the year to avoid the springing maturity feature in the remainder of our debt. I’ll return to our balance sheet and cash runway in a bit, but now let’s turn to our Q2 financials. Revenue for the quarter came in line with guidance at $15.6 million, down 17% sequentially and 5% year over year. The decline in Q2 revenue was primarily driven by three factors. First, lower than expected NRE revenue as a development contract we anticipated closing by the end of the quarter was shifted to Q3 due the customer expanding the scope of this contract and requiring additional time to finalize. Second, we shipped roughly 5,000 Iris sensors during the quarter compared to 6,000 sensors in Q1, with the vast majority of these shipments going to Volvo. This 1000 sensor quarter over quarter decline was due to lower demand from our lead customer. Finally, the wind down of the non data contract Paul mentioned earlier also contributed to a sequential decline in revenue. While the impact this quarter was modest, we expect a more meaningful reduction in revenue towards the end of the year as we reach the final stages of exiting this business. Now let’s move on the gross margin for the quarter. We reported a gross loss of $12.4 million on a GAAP basis and $10.8 million on a non GAAP basis. This was below our guidance of negative 5 to $10 million. This quarter we recorded a $3 million non cash warranty adjustment driven by updated assumptions as we completed the final reliability of our testing for iris. Importantly, this reserve is not reflective of any actual customer issues in the field. Excluding this non cash adjustment, our gross loss for the quarter would have been in line with the guidance we provided. Additionally, we incurred approximately $1 million in tariff related charges during Q2 consistent with the prior quarter. As a reminder, we worked with our leading customers to significantly reduce our exposure to tariffs and don’t expect any material tariff charges for the remainder of the year. Now let’s discuss our cost actions in OPEX. OPEX came in at $27 million on a GAAP basis and $47 million on a non-GAAP basis. On a non GAAP basis, OPEX includes $2.4 million of non cash adjustment to true up the fair value of stock issue to our vendor during the quarter as well as $2 million for non recurring accounting charge related to the termination of the data contract. This was partially offset by continued cost cutting actions including subleasing of certain facilities, roll up contractors as well as other cost saving actions. We ended the quarter with $108 million in cash and marketable security. This excludes our $50 million line of credit that remains undrawn as well as $180 million available on program and $165 million available under the convertible preferred facility. Taking all of this together, our total access to liquidity is over $500 million. In prior quarters we reported cash and liquidity together which included cash marketable securities and the $50 million undrawn line of credit. This quarter and going forward we are going to discuss cash and marketable securities separately for clarity and simplicity. Our change in cash during the quarter was $31 million below the $45 million level from Q1. This was driven by higher proceeds from our equity financing program which amounted to $28 million during the quarter. Free cash flow for the quarter was roughly $53 million, slightly higher than the $44 million in Q1, but significantly below the $78 million free cash burn from a year ago. The sequential increase we experienced during the quarter was driven by higher working capital investment following the restart of our Mexican manufacturing plant earlier this year. Let’s move on now to 2025 guidance. For 2025 we’re lowering our revenue guidance to $67 million to $74 million. This is lower than our previous implied outlook of the $82 million to $90 million. This revision is entirely explained by two factors. First, lower revenue associated with the wind down of the non data contract discussed earlier. In addition to the modest near term impact, we expect this wind down to reduce revenue by approximately $5 million in the fourth quarter of this year and $21 million on an annual run rate basis. Second, we are reducing our total sensor shipment outlook by roughly 10,000 units in 2025. We now expect total shipments to be in the 20,000 to 23,000 sensor range this year, down from 30 to 33,000 units previously. For Q3 we expect revenue to be in the range of 17 to $19 million. We continue to expect our quarterly average gross loss to fall within the negative 5 to $10 million range, though likely more towards the higher end of this range due to the negative impact from the wind down of the higher gross margin data contract for 2025, we continue to expect our quarterly non GAAP OPEX run rate will decline to the low $30 million range by Q4 of this year, although we anticipate a slight uptick in Q3 due to one time costs associated with terminating the data contract. We also expect further cost reductions as we head into 2026. This will be supported by the winding down of our data insurance business which will result in gross run rate annual savings of $23 million collectively with the benefits expected to start in Q4 this year, we expect to end fiscal year 25 with 80 to $100 million of cash and marketable securities, which excludes our $50 million undrawn line of credit. This is slightly below the previous outlook of greater than $100 million, primarily due to the slower pace of equity issuance under our equity financing program. Specifically, we expect to issue $25 million per quarter on average this year under our equity financing program below our previous target of $30 million on an annual basis. This results in about $20 million difference in equity issuance for the year, which fully accounts for the Delta in our year end cash target. As I communicated in prior quarters, we believe our current cash and liquidity position, as well as access to additional liquidity under our convertible, preferred and equity financing programs, provides us with sufficient runway through 2026. I’ve also mentioned the past we may require up to $100 million in additional capital to reach profitability, and we remain focused on aggressively executing on our cost reduction plan and streamlining our business to lower any additional funding requirement. We are in no rush to execute a transaction immediately, although we continue to evaluate our options for raising additional capital. That concludes my prepared remarks. And with that, I will hand it back over to Paul.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Thanks, Tom. As we close this section of the call, I want to leave you with where we stand and where we’re headed. Over the past quarter we’ve taken decisive steps to reset Luminar, sharpening our focus, instilling financial discipline and aligning the company around clear priorities. We’re also pursuing new opportunities beyond automotive, where our technology is already unlocking growth in trucking, security and defense. Our goal is to build a stronger, leaner Luminar that consistently delivers on its commitments and creates lasting value for our customers, partners and shareholders. With that, I’ll turn it over to the operator to start the Q and a portion of the call.

OPERATOR

Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. One moment for questions. Our first question comes from Winnie Dong with Deutsche Bank. You may proceed.

Equity Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Hi. Thanks so much for taking the question. I was wondering if you can help us size the opportunities from some of the other adjacency markets that you were referring to before. And then if there’s any update on potential customer engagements and how compatible will the hater quality for those end markets?

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

The commercial markets I’ve referred to are very large. I’m not prepared to give you specific sizes today. We will share customer information in future calls. We’ve not. We’ve not done that today. We do expect to leverage the Halo platform in our commercial markets as well as of course, the automotive market.

Equity Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Okay, thank you. And then maybe a second question in the deck. I think there was a sentence that said basically the shipment of serious production sensors where at unfavorable economics. I was just wondering if you can elaborate on that. Is it essentially, you know, low volume? And then are there any sort of contract terms that can help offset in case, you know, Customer volume coming or. To expect in the future. Thank you.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Tom, you want to handle that? Sure.

Tom Fennimore (Chief Financial Officer)

Winnie, this refers to the trend I’ve talked about over the last few quarters. Given the lower than expected volumes as we ramp up our initial AX90 program, we are underwater on the sensor economics. We’re currently selling them at prices lower than what we can produce them at. We’re taking actions we can to close that gap. As Paul mentioned on the call, one of those is kind of transitioning more of the production over to Thailand and we’re going to continue to do what we can to close the gap. But that’s a trend we’ve been talking about for the last few quarters. Just given the lower expected volume, there are unit economics on IRIS aren’t where we want them to be.

Equity Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Got it. Thank you so much.

OPERATOR

Thank you. And as a reminder to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. Our next question comes from Mark Delaney with Goldman Sachs. You may proceed.

Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking the questions. I also had a question starting with the commercial markets. Maybe you could elaborate when you expect to begin realizing revenue from these other end markets and when you think it could be at a material level.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

As I mentioned in my call, we’re realizing revenues today and we’re increasing our investment in our sales and marketing efforts in that area and expect that we will be able to grow those revenues over the course of 2026. We’re not providing 2026 forecast today, but it’s already a material part of our revenues this year.

Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay, and as you think about reaching non GAAP OPEX into the low 30 million range, is that also going to be able to fund these adjacent opportunities or would there be additional investment needed on top of the that low 30 million target in order to fund these markets?

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Now those investments are consistent with the investment trade offs we’re making in the business to hit the OPEX target that Tom mentioned.

Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay, one other one for me if I could please. Then I’ll pass it on. As you think about the automotive market, you did mention the time frame for wider scale L4 and I think in the past the companies thought of adas as being the key market rather than robo taxis. You’re reevaluating where makes the most sense for you to focus within the automotive industry. Do you still see ADAS as the key opportunity or do you think robotaxis may be something you want to focus more on? Especially given the industry momentum that’s starting to build in the robotaxi area?

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Thanks. Well, I didn’t mean to suggest that L3 was referring specifically to robo taxis, but rather to higher levels of autonomy within passenger vehicles. That’s been an area that Luminar has been highly focused on and an area where the halo architecture has its keenest advantages. That part of the passenger vehicle market has progressed more slowly than the company anticipated. And while it will occur, we’re confident, we don’t feel as confident in the timing of its progression and hence the reason for the relative emphasis on other market opportunities.

Equity Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay, thank you.

OPERATOR

Thank you. Our next question comes from Josh Patwell with JPMorgan. You may proceed.

Equity Analyst at JPMorgan

Hi, good afternoon and thanks for taking my questions. Maybe just to get started with guidance, could you help us unpack the downside revision to the full year revenue guidance? Specifically, how much of the $15 million reduction is tied to lower census shipment expectations and how much of that would be attributed to wind down of the non core data contract? Thanks. Another follow up? Yeah.

Tom Fennimore (Chief Financial Officer)

And Josh, I’ll take this. So if you think about that $15 million delta, about 2/3 of it is related to the lower sensor shipments, right? We took it from 30 to 33,000 down to 20 to 23,000. So that 10,000 sensor decline explains about 2/3 of the gap. And then the other third is related to the cancellation of the data contract that we talked about on the call.

Equity Analyst at JPMorgan

That’s great. Just as a follow up, maybe it would be great to hear your perspective on what positions Luminar to succeed in the smart application, the infrastructure market. I believe you’re already seeing some traction, but some of your peers have been more focused on that market over the past couple of years. So just trying to get a sense of what sets Luminar about.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Well, as I mentioned, we have existing revenues in that market. We’re participating now. We do have some technological advantages, we believe. We think we also introduce LIDAR capabilities at lower price points for that market than might otherwise be available. We’re confident. And it’s a big expansive market that’s growing very rapidly today, so we’re not overwhelmed by the initial participation of other participants.

Equity Analyst at JPMorgan

Understood. If I could just sneak one more in. Could you maybe provide an update on the partnership with Mercedes Benz? It appears they’re also considering alternative technologies from some of your competitors. What are you hearing from them regarding their approach and strategy? And how does Luminar fit into their future plans? I think you were asking about Mercedes, is that right? Yeah.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

We have a development agreement with Mercedes and we’re executing against the milestones in that development agreement. It is our hope that we convert that development agreement into a production agreement based on the achievement of those milestones and the strengthening relationship that comes along with that. But that remains a goal, that remains a decision out in the future.

Equity Analyst at JPMorgan

Great. Thanks for taking my questions and good luck.

OPERATOR

Thank you. And as a reminder to ask a question, please press Star one one on your telephone. One moment for questions. Our next question comes from Walter Piecyk with LightShed Partners. You may proceed.

LightShed Partners Equity Analyst

Thanks. There’s an opportunity for a question. I figured I’d just kind of give you more of a 10,000 foot one. What are you hearing from Volvo as your partner in terms of the EX90? You know, actually someone in my firm purchased one, had all these issues with the digital keys. Just a disaster of a car, unrelated obviously to your sensor. But just curious, like what are they blaming this product failure on and what do you think that means going forward in terms of maybe putting more technical effort there relative to their autonomy group, which at least on the trucking side, we’ve heard a variety of things in terms of the investment that they’re making or they’re maintaining, at least in the US on autonomy and the knowledge base they have there. So can you just give us to. The extent you can, Obviously I know most companies don’t like to talk about their partners, but some sense on what the future is for Volvo as a company and how that may help or hurt you in the future. In terms of sales.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

I can’t comment on Volvo’s position in the automotive industry. I’m not qualified to do that and wouldn’t do it in any case. I can say they’ve been an excellent partner with us and they’ve been an early leader in deployment of LIDAR technologies. We work with them in the spirit of that and continue to support their efforts. I mentioned and Tom confirmed that forecasted volumes for shipments to Volvo this year have been lower than we anticipated. But we continue to work with them on deployment and towards completing a development production agreement for the next generation HALO architecture.

LightShed Partners Equity Analyst

How do you think that market evolves? Meaning that do you think the OEMs like Volvo trying to develop stuff internally and therefore your relationship with Volvo can evolve where they continue to use your existing and future sensor developments? Or do you see them more likely to partner as they shift from adas to full autonomy with external technology partners, which will then therefore, I would assume put more pressure on you to develop partnerships with technology companies that use LiDAR? So how do you see that over the next three years that market evolving the importance of the relationship with the OEM versus the relationship with the autonomous or level four technology company.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Well, we’ll have to see how things play out. But so far as we can see, many, most of the automotive manufacturers have a serious investment and commitment towards autonomous technology. And that includes sourcing lidar hardware and software from us in some cases. I expect the boundary between what they do and what we do and what others do to evolve over time. And I would be surprised if they jettisoned their efforts, as your question might suggest, given the importance they attach to the value creation in those efforts.

LightShed Partners Equity Analyst

Yeah, I don’t think I was trying to suggest that. I think maybe in my first question I was noting, at least on the trucking side, there’s some clear indications that they’ve reduced people in the United States. But on the automotive side, which is a different company, I guess, different people. I was just more trying to figure out if you think, you know, three years from now, four years from now, your contracts are going to be driven by the, the OEM determining it versus, let’s say, Volvo cuts a deal with Noro tomorrow and Noro is going to be their technology partner. And then you got to work with Noro to be the lidar sensor in their stack if they end up, you know, having one or not.

Paul Ricci (Chief Executive Officer)

Well, Volo is in the stages of, as are other manufacturers of completing contracts now that determine production in 27, 28 and 29. So I think the reality of three to four years from now is occurring now, contractually. Okay, thank you.

OPERATOR

Thank you. This concludes the conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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