Zinger Key Points
- When a team wins the Super Bowl by a three-digit margin, the S&P 500 moves just 4.9% higher by year end, on average.
- Alternatively, when a team wins the big game by 21 points or more, the S&P 500 gains an average of 13.6%.
- Get stock picks, daily rankings, and pro-level trading tools in one powerful platform—Memorial Day sale ending soon.
Despite the sports-betting excitement and anticipation surrounding Super Bowl LVII, traditional financial markets also closely monitor the outcome of the game.
The Big Game: The Kansas City Chiefs became Super Bowl LVII Champions on Sunday night, coming back from a 10-point deficit against the Philadelphia Eagles to win by a narrow 3-point margin, thanks to a game-winning field goal at the end of the fourth quarter.
It’s not so much the Chiefs winning that’s bad news for the S&P 500 SPY, it’s more so that pesky margin of 3-points.
What Happened: Carson Group Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick scoured Super Bowl and S&P 500 data going back to 1967 and found that when a team wins the Super Bowl by a single-digit margin, the S&P 500 has a much smaller chance of closing the year with higher gains.
On average, the S&P 500 gains just 4.9% when a team wins the Super Bowl by a single-digit margin, and the index has a 59.1% chance of ending the year higher.
Alternatively, when a team wins the big game by a blowout (21-points or more), the S&P 500 gains an average of 13.6%, and has an 84.6% chance of finishing up for the year.
Why It Matters: While these findings may seem surprising, it highlights the interconnectedness of various industries and events, including sports and finance.
The outcome of the Super Bowl may not directly cause a change in the stock market, but the correlation is certainly worth noting.
Also Read: This Super Bowl Commercial Will Feature Tesla Model Y, Meme Kid And Puppies — See It Here First
Edge Rankings
Price Trend
© 2025 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Trade confidently with insights and alerts from analyst ratings, free reports and breaking news that affects the stocks you care about.