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Data Backs Up Concerns The Snapchat Update Is Alienating Users, Stifel Says

March 1, 2018 11:30 am
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Kylie Jenner isn't the only Snap Inc (NYSE:SNAP) user disappointed with the social media's revamped platform, according to data points compiled by Stifel.

The Analyst

Stifel's John Egbert maintains a Hold rating on Snap's stock with an unchanged $17 price target.

The Thesis

Data compiled by Egbert found that Snap's total U.S. estimated audience reach fell 0.1 percent in the January to February period. Audience at the same time across key international ad markets like UK and Canada was down 1.1 percent. The data suggests the social media company experienced a "minor disruption" from the app udate, which drew a "much-publicized backlash from a number of vocal users."

Third-party data from Sensor Tower did find a rise in first-time app downloads through Feb. 12, which could be a result of the increased media attention, the analyst said. But the decline in usage from January and February implies ongoing disruption to Snap's engagement as a whole through the end of February.

While the disruption is "relatively minor" in comparison to the media coverage, it may end up impacting daily active user figures, Egbert said. Investors should pay attention to March trends and whether they show an improvement, allowing the company to hit its DAU estimate of 2.5 million net adds in the first quarter.

Price Action

Snap shares were down 2.31 percent at $16.92 in Thursday morning trading. 

Related Links:

Citi Downgrades Snap To Sell Amid Negative Sentiment Of Snapchat's Redesign

Chart: Snap's Trajectory Looks More Like Twitter Than Facebook

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