Bettors on Kalshi, a federally regulated prediction platform, have shared that there's more than a 70% chance of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) achieving Unsupervised autonomy.
Kalshi First Saw A 54% Chance
In a post on the social media platform X on Sunday, the official handle for the platform shared that there was a "54% chance Tesla releases “unsupervised” self-driving in the next 5 months."
However, at the time of writing this article, the platform showcases a 71% chance of Tesla achieving Unsupervised FSD before April 2026. Bettors have also predicted a 56% chance of unsupervised driverless tech before March 2026, while 46% bet on FSD's release before February 2026.
Source: Kalshi
What's Driving The Bettors' Bullish Stance
The stance comes as Tesla recently shared cryptic posts on the social media platform X on Sunday. "The fleet will wake up via over-the-air software update," the company said, teasing a future update that could enable unsupervised autonomous driving for Tesla vehicles.
The company also shared another post on Sunday, "Slowly, then all at once," it said.
Unsupervised FSD Testing Underway
The posts follow Tesla CEO Elon Musk's response to a video that surfaced online, showcasing a Tesla Model Y Robotaxi being driven autonomously in Austin. Musk confirmed that driverless testing was underway.
The testing could give Tesla a major boost to align with Musk's end-of-the-year timeline for driverless Robotaxis in Austin. Currently, the sector is dominated by Alphabet Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (NASDAQ:GOOG) autonomous cab service Waymo, which recently hit the 14 million annual Robotaxi rides milestone.
Tesla scores well on the Momentum metric, while offering satisfactory Growth and Quality, but poor Value. Tesla also has a favourable price trend in the Medium and Long term. For more such insights, sign up for Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings today!
Price Action: TSLA surged 2.70% to $458.96 at Market close on Friday, and surged 0.73% to $462.32 during the After-hours session, according to Benzinga Pro data.
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