Abercrombie & Fitch Brand Has More Resilient Customer Base Than Peers: Analyst

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  • Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey reiterated an Outperform rating on the shares of Abercrombie & Fitch Co ANF with a price target of $35.
  • ANF reported 1Q23 EPS of $0.39 versus $(0.27) last year, coming ahead of the consensus. Total sales increased 2.9% for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate for 0.3% growth and the guidance of roughly flat.
  • The bottom-line upside was driven by across-the-board outperformance, as sales, gross margin, and operating expenses as a percent of sales all came in better than expected, said the analyst.
  • The gross margin expansion for the quarter was driven by a 760 basis points benefit from lower freight costs and 230 basis points from AUR growth, added the analyst.
  • The analyst noted that the company also raised its annual outlook on the strength of the first-quarter results and a better-than-expected second-quarter guide.
  • Encouragingly, the analyst added that with the first half outperformance, the FY23 guide appears less back-end weighted than many retail peers.
  • The A&F brand remains healthy with a more resilient customer base and strong assortment, while Hollister can continue to improve as the year progresses with cleaner inventories.
  • Longer-term, the analyst continues to see margin expansion opportunity through digital growth and increased square footage productivity.
  • Price Action: ANF shares are trading higher by 26.1% at $29.01 on the last check Wednesday.
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