Benzinga

España
Italia
대한민국
日本
Français
Benzinga Edge
Benzinga Research
Benzinga Pro

  • Get Benzinga Pro
  • Data & APIs
  • Events
  • Premarket
  • Advertise
Contribute
España
Italia
대한민국
日本
Français

Benzinga

  • Premium Services
  • Financial News
    Latest
    Earnings
    Guidance
    Dividends
    M&A
    Buybacks
    Interviews
    Management
    Offerings
    IPOs
    Insider Trades
    Biotech/FDA
    Politics
    Healthcare
    Small-Cap
  • Markets
    Pre-Market
    After Hours
    Movers
    ETFs
    Options
    Cryptocurrency
    Commodities
    Bonds
    Futures
    Mining
    Real Estate
    Volatility
  • Ratings
    Analyst Color
    Downgrades
    Upgrades
    Initiations
    Price Target
  • Investing Ideas
    Trade Ideas
    Long Ideas
    Short Ideas
    Technicals
    Analyst Ratings
    Analyst Color
    Latest Rumors
    Whisper Index
    Stock of the Day
    Best Stocks & ETFs
    Best Penny Stocks
    Best S&P 500 ETFs
    Best Swing Trade Stocks
    Best Blue Chip Stocks
    Best High-Volume Penny Stocks
    Best Small Cap ETFs
    Best Stocks to Day Trade
    Best REITs
  • Money
    Investing
    Cryptocurrency
    Mortgage
    Insurance
    Yield
    Personal Finance
    Forex
    Startup Investing
    Real Estate Investing
    Prop Trading
    Credit Cards
    Stock Brokers
Research
My Stocks
Tools
Free Benzinga Pro Trial
Calendars
Analyst Ratings Calendar
Conference Call Calendar
Dividend Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Economic Calendar
FDA Calendar
Guidance Calendar
IPO Calendar
M&A Calendar
Unusual Options Activity Calendar
SPAC Calendar
Stock Split Calendar
Trade Ideas
Free Stock Reports
Insider Trades
Trade Idea Feed
Analyst Ratings
Unusual Options Activity
Heatmaps
Free Newsletter
Government Trades
Perfect Stock Portfolio
Easy Income Portfolio
Short Interest
Most Shorted
Largest Increase
Largest Decrease
Calculators
Margin Calculator
Forex Profit Calculator
100x Options Profit Calculator
Screeners
Stock Screener
Top Momentum Stocks
Top Quality Stocks
Top Value Stocks
Top Growth Stocks
Compare Best Stocks
Best Momentum Stocks
Best Quality Stocks
Best Value Stocks
Best Growth Stocks
Connect With Us
facebookinstagramlinkedintwitteryoutubeblueskymastodon
About Benzinga
  • About Us
  • Careers
  • Advertise
  • Contact Us
Market Resources
  • Advanced Stock Screener Tools
  • Options Trading Chain Analysis
  • Comprehensive Earnings Calendar
  • Dividend Investor Calendar and Alerts
  • Economic Calendar and Market Events
  • IPO Calendar and New Listings
  • Market Outlook and Analysis
  • Wall Street Analyst Ratings and Targets
Trading Tools & Education
  • Benzinga Pro Trading Platform
  • Options Trading Strategies and News
  • Stock Market Trading Ideas and Analysis
  • Technical Analysis Charts and Indicators
  • Fundamental Analysis and Valuation
  • Day Trading Guides and Strategies
  • Live Investors Events
  • Pre market Stock Analysis and News
  • Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and News
Ring the Bell

A newsletter built for market enthusiasts by market enthusiasts. Top stories, top movers, and trade ideas delivered to your inbox every weekday before and after the market closes.

  • Terms & Conditions
  • Do Not Sell My Personal Data/Privacy Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • Service Status
  • Sitemap
© 2026 Benzinga | All Rights Reserved
February 6, 2020 2:20 PM 2 min read

Twilio's 2020 Outlook Has Investors Worried: What Does The Street Think?

by Jayson Derrick
Follow
TWLO Logo
TWLOTwilio Inc
$110.450.86%
Overview

Cloud communications platform provider Twilio Inc (NYSE:TWLO) reported fourth-quarter results that came in better than expected, but 2020 guidance has some investors concerned. Here is a summary of how some of the Street's top analysts reacted to the print.

The Analysts

Wells Fargo analyst Michael Turrin maintains an Overweight rating on Twilio's stock with a $155 price target.

Morgan Stanley analyst Meta Marshall maintains at Overweight, $140 price target.

Stephens analyst Ryan MacWilliams maintains at Equal-Weight, price target lowered from $115 to $105.

Baird analyst William Power maintains at Outperform, price target lifted from $140 to $150.

Wells Fargo: Growing 'Up So Fast'

Twilio ended 2019 with year-over-year revenue growth of 62% to more than $1.1 billion. Management guided for fiscal 2020 revenue to come in at around $1.5 billion although the year will be full of investments.

Turrin said Twillio will spend on R&D, core systems/infrastructure and a go-to-market expansion. This is the "right strategic decision" given the $55 billion communications opportunity the company faces.

"We think TWLO shares hold significant upside potential and would be buyers on any post earnings dip," the analyst wrote in a note.

See Also: Twilio Has Multibillion-Dollar Potential, Cowen Says In Bullish Initiation

Morgan Stanley: What To Watch Out For

Twilio should remain a market share gainer in a fast-growing market but there are three items worth watching, Marshall said. These include:

  1. Significant investments over 2020 will "limit and even contract" near-term profit
  2. Printed dollar-based net expansion rate (DBNE) fell from 132% last quarter to 124%
  3. Net customer adds slowed from 10,000 in the second quarter to 7,000 and new customers contributed 12% of revenue growth versus 15% in the third quarter.

Stephens: Mistaken Identity

Twilio is primarily an SMS API provider, which MacWilliams said warrants a lower sales multiple given its lower gross margins. In fact, Twilio's gross margins (ex-SendGrid) were disappointing as it fell to 53.6% in the quarter and is up just 40 basis points from fiscal 2018 levels despite a 47% organic revenue growth rate.

Management's focus on investing in its products is an "admission" increased investment is needed before higher-margin products can notably impact revenue and margins.

Baird: Valuation Discussion

Twilio's stock trades at 10.7 times 2020 revenue forecast and 8.6 times 2021 estimates, Power said. This compares to the SaaS group at roughly 13 times 2020 estimates and 10 times 2021 estimates.

The research firm's revised $150 price target is based on 11 times 2021 revenue estimates, which are in line with its high-growth peers and awards Twilio credit for revenue growth and a "significant" competitive moat.

TWLO Price Action

Shares of Twilio were trading lower by more than 6% at $119.16.

Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs

© 2026 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.


Posted In:
Analyst ColorEarningsNewsGuidancePrice TargetAnalyst RatingsBairdcloudMeta MarshallMorgan StanleyStephensWells FargoWilliam Power
TWLO Logo
TWLOTwilio Inc
$110.450.86%
Overview
Beat the Market With Our Free Pre-Market Newsletter
Enter your email to get Benzinga's ultimate morning update: The PreMarket Activity Newsletter
Comments
Loading...