Last month's bullish forecast by the International Monetary Fund is another reason to bet on the Chinese yuan. The IMF estimates that developing economies in Asia will expand 8.4% this year, compared with 2.8% growth in the U.S. Overall, the yuan has appreciated 4.92% against the greenback in the past year and many global traders predict the currency will be convertible into other currencies by 2016. More than 50% of money managers surveyed by Bloomberg estimate that the yuan will join the dollar, yen and euro as a reserve currency within a decade.
With inflation running high in China, Beijing is more likely to let its currency appreciate as a tool to help fight inflation. Some analysts believe that the yuan could be undervalued by as much as 40%. Countries like South Korea and Malaysia, whose economies are very closely linked to China, will be willing to let their currencies rise as well. The appreciating yuan can be seen a positive for the entire ASEAN trade-bloc.
For investors, that means betting on the Chinese currency. The WisdomTree Dreyfus Chinese Yuan (
CYB) is the largest yuan currency fund and represents the bulk of the assets in the space. Similarly, the Market Vectors Chinese Renminbi/USD ETN (NYSE:
CNY) can be used as a play on the currencies appreciation. Additional, yuan currency exposure can be had by buying China's A shares via the Morgan Stanley China A Share Fund (NYSE:
CAF)
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