Real Good Food Q4 Sales Miss Expectations Reflecting Pullback In Promotional Expenses

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  • The Real Good Food Company, Inc. RGF reported fourth-quarter FY22 sales growth of 39.2% year-on-year to $35.65 million, missing the consensus of $49.26 million.
  • The company attributed the higher revenue primarily to strong growth in sales volumes of its core products, driven by greater demand from existing retail and club customers.
  • Gross profit more than doubled to $4.9 million, with the margin extending from 5.0% to 13.7%, driven by a decrease in the cost of raw materials, improved price realization, and productivity initiatives.
  • The loss from operations considerably narrowed to $(9.3) million from $(41.1) million last year. Net loss decreased to $(11.9) million from $(44.9) million in the prior year.
  • The company held $7.6 million in cash and equivalents as of December 31, 2022.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was $(0.7) million versus $(3.9) million last year.
  • "While sales came in below our original expectations, this was driven by the strategic dialing back of promotional expenses on a non-core product in the unmeasured channel that would have diluted margins," said executive chairman Bryan Freeman.
  • Outlook: Real Good Food maintained its FY23 sales guidance of $200 million. It expects an FY23 adjusted gross margin of at least 24%. Adjusted EBITDA in the mid-to-high single-digit million range.
  • Long-term, the company continues to expect net sales of approximately $500 million.
  • Price Action: RGF shares traded lower by 2.58% at $4.90 on the last check Monday.
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