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Pro: The Trump Rally May Have Come To An End

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Pro: The Trump Rally May Have Come To An End

For the first time in what seems like months, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was trading lower by 200 points in one day. In fact, the notable selloff is prompting some experts to suggest that the "Trump rally" has now come to an end.

John Rutledge, Safanad's chief investment officer, was a guest on CNBC on Tuesday to explain why the market has reached its peak. He said the fundamentals in the market are pretty good, the economy is doing OK, corporate earnings are likewise pretty good and pricing power is returning.

Politics (Always) At Play

However, he continued that President Donald Trump's proposed tax changes and reforms, which were seen as a catalyst to support stocks appears to not be a top priority for the president's administration. In fact, tax reform has taken a backseat to health care reform and new trade policies but, in reality, bringing in a corporate tax cut, favorable conditions on repatriating foreign cash and introducing lower margin tax rates should have been the top priority from day one.

"The tax bill has been pushed back to late in the year, infrastructure spending is at zero; it's going nowhere — that's a next year issue," he emphasized. "So, the tax bill being in third place is being put in jeopardy."

Also playing a role in the market's peak is interest rates moving higher and all of these factors combined implies the market's current multiple is too high.

Related Links:

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin On Tax Reform, Stock Market

Was The 'Trump Rally' Really Any Different From The Bush Or Clinton Rallies?
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Image Credit: By Sgt. Alicia Brand - https://www.dvidshub.net/image/3116626/wreath-laying-ceremony-with-president-elect-donald-j-trump, Public Domain, via Wikimedia Commons

 

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