Unfortunately, the move is creating a ripple effect on pricing implications, badly hurting technology specialists, including integrated circuits manufacturer Tower Semiconductor Ltd (NASDAQ:TSEM).
Modern businesses — especially within the advanced semiconductor industry — require specialized parts and materials that are secured months in advance. Further, the research and development of advanced components can take years, requiring significant investments and partnerships across multiple entities. Plus, with so much of the tech ecosystem dependent on Asia, Trump's tariffs darken forward visibility.
TSEM Stock Enjoys Credibility as a Bounce-Back Prospect
Although the environment for TSEM stock appears incredibly dour, students of market history will look on the red ink with anticipation, not dread. More often than not, the ominous clouds have represented an opportunity to acquire shares.
To be sure, the sample size is very small, so the implication needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Nevertheless, it's remarkable that even one year removed from the death cross flashing, the contrarian success ratio of 71.4% still stands.
Third, TSEM stock is currently down more than 11% over the trailing five sessions. Such extreme volatility is rare. Looking back over the past six years, there have only been four weeks where TSEM lost double-digit percentage points. By the fourth week following such an intense downside, the security has swung up three times, suggesting that investors recognize the deep value play.
Rolling the Dice on Tower Semiconductor
For those that want to go for the immediate gratification route, the nearest expiration date for TSEM stock options is April 17. Here, the 30/35 bull call spread would arguably be the most aggressive trade that has a realistic chance of being successful.
The above transaction involves buying the $30 call (at a time-of-writing ask) of $330 and simultaneously selling the $35 call (at a bid of $45), resulting in a net cash outlay of $285. Should TSEM stock hit or exceed the short strike price at expiration, the maximum reward is the difference between the strike prices (multiplied by 100 shares) minus the cash outlay or $215. This translates to a payout of 75.44%.
For speculators who want to play the death cross, they may consider buying the 35/37 bull spread for the options chain expiring May 16. This options chain provides more time for the market to bake in the negativity before hopefully rising. In the ensuing bounce back, strong double-digit-percentage moves are not unusual; hence, the ambitious but realistic $37 target.
Those who want to roll the dice on the above trade will need to spend $65. On the plus side, if TSEM stock cooperates, the maximum reward is $135 or a payout of nearly 208%.
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