If history is any guide, there may be trouble ahead for shares of Progressive(NYSE:PGR). A so-called "death cross" has formed on its chart and, not surprisingly, this could be bearish for the stock.
What To Know: Many traders use moving average crossover systems to make their decisions.
When a shorter-term average price crosses above a longer-term average price, it could mean the stock is trending higher. If the short-term average price crosses below the long-term average price, it means the trend is lower.
Why It's Important: The 50-day and the 200-day simple moving averages are commonly used.
The death cross occurs when the 50-day moves below the 200-day. This could mean the long-term trend is changing.
That just happened with Progressive, which is trading around $92.325 at publication time.
Remember: Seasoned investors don't blindly trade Death Crosses.
Instead, they use it as a signal to start looking for short positions based on other factors, like price levels and company fundamentals & events.
For seasoned investors, this is just a sign that it might be time to start considering possible short positions.
With that in mind, take a look at Progressive's past and upcoming earnings expectations:
| Quarter | Q2 2021 | Q1 2021 | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS Estimate | 1.08 | 1.40 | 1.66 | 1.72 |
| EPS Actual | 0.72 | 1.73 | 1.57 | 1.88 |
| Revenue Estimate | 11.52 B | 11.23 B | 10.32 B | 10.92 B |
| Revenue Actual | 10.98 B | 10.42 B | 10.21 B | 9.97 B |
Also consider this overview of Progressive analyst ratings:
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