TalkMarkets

TalkMarkets

How Should We Make Housing More "Affordable"?
In any advancing society, new houses should be better than existing homes. That means that new houses will be "unaffordable" to the median purchaser of houses of that size.
Key Events This Extremely Busy Week: Fed, Treasury Refunding, Jobs, JOLTS, ISM And Tons Of Earnings
The FOMC on Wednesday is the obvious highlight of the week, but we also have payrolls on Friday to look forward to.
The Media Infotainment Complex Strikes Back
Good news is bad news and bad news is bad news … having it both ways.
Do You Really Want To Sell In May And Go Away?
Seasonal factors can play a role in your trading success, but your odds may only be slightly better than a flip of a coin. This is especially true when you're trading options.
The New Era Of Fiscal Dominance - A Lot Of Painful Changes
The rules for investing may have recently changed. There's a good argument to be made that we are now in an era of fiscal dominance.
Looking At Historical "Mid Cycle Indicators" - What Do They Say Now?
YoY employment growth peaked in March 2021 (one year after the sudden lockdowns due to the pandemic). It's pretty clear that is a false positive.
For TSLA, Future And Present; Plus Hang Seng
If you haven't learned by now that shorting TSLA is a dangerous proposition, this should be yet another reminder.
Is PayPal Stock A 'Buy' Ahead Of Q1 Earnings
PayPal stock has gained some 20% in close to three months.
Yen's Dramatic Rally: Surges From 160.245 To 154.40 USD
The depreciating yen presents a complex scenario for Japan's economy. On the one hand, a weaker yen benefits Japanese exporters by enhancing their competitive edge in international markets.
Clash Of AI Giants: Microsoft Or Alphabet For Long-Term Exposure?
Although Microsoft has shown greater agility, Google could catch up.
Gold: Signals From Stocks And USDX Should Not Be Ignored
Markets are connected, and what happens in stocks and currencies is likely to impact gold as well.
Russell 2000 Q1 2024 Earnings Preview: Sharp Downward Revisions Precede Earnings Season
Looking ahead to 2024, both earnings and revenue growth expectations have been declining since August, now standing at 20.7% for full-year earnings.
Did Friday's Big Rally Change Anything?
Friday's big rally in stocks came with a small drop in bond yields, but the U.S. dollar was still solidly higher.
Stocks Quietly Climb Ahead Of Central Bank Storm
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 Index are all sporting comfortable leads this afternoon.
Fed Meets On Rates And Unemployment Ahead This Week. The Corn And Ethanol Report
Severe storms ripped through the heartland over the weekend covering 16 states and a tornado count of 137 in a 24 hour period.
Weekly Market Pulse: Be Careful What You Wish For
Currency devaluation never accomplishes what its proponents believe it will. And it often causes friction with trading partners, an outcome the Japanese should be very familiar with.
FTSE Continues To Extend Its Record Break Run Aided By M&A News
The blue-chip FTSE 100 reached an all-time high of 8,185.69 points, rising 0.4% and marking gains in eight of the last nine sessions.
The Eurozone's Economic Recovery Sputters In April
The European Commission's economic sentiment indicator unexpectedly declined in April on the back of a still struggling manufacturing sector.
U.S. Oil Production In 2023, Net Exports Of Petroleum Products Through 2024Q1
As the U.S. becomes a bigger and bigger exporter of petroleum products, an oil price increase becomes less and less a negative terms of trade shock.
Momentum Retains Solid Lead For 2024 Equity Factor Returns
The momentum factor is on track to end April as it began: the strongest year-to-date performer among US equity factors