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MSTR Jumps to $120 on Bitcoin Boost to $77,000: What Do Prediction Markets Forecast?

MSTR Jumps to $120 on Bitcoin Boost to $77,000: What Do Prediction Markets Forecast?

Did Citadel’s $4 Billion AI Stock Selloff Weigh On MU, SNDK, NBIS?

Did Citadel’s $4 Billion AI Stock Selloff Weigh On MU, SNDK, NBIS?

SpaceX's Record IPO Left University Endowments With Billion-Dollar Stakes. Anthropic Wants to Go Even Bigger

SpaceX's Record IPO Left University Endowments With Billion-Dollar Stakes. Anthropic Wants to Go Even Bigger

Did Citadel’s $4 Billion AI Stock Selloff Weigh On MU, SNDK, NBIS?

Did Citadel’s $4 Billion AI Stock Selloff Weigh On MU, SNDK, NBIS?

SpaceX's Record IPO Left University Endowments With Billion-Dollar Stakes. Anthropic Wants to Go Even Bigger

SpaceX's Record IPO Left University Endowments With Billion-Dollar Stakes. Anthropic Wants to Go Even Bigger

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The highest-volume markets right now, updated every few minutes.

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes65.5¢No34.5¢

7-Day Trend-17.5¢

24h volume: $2.7K
Total volume: $148K
Liquidity: $15.9K

Closes Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Yes95.0¢No5.0¢

7-Day Trend—

No recent price history

24h volume: $114.9K
Total volume: $2.3M
Liquidity: $147.7K

Closes Dec 31, 2026

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes56.5¢No43.5¢

7-Day Trend+12.0¢

24h volume: $178K
Total volume: $7.9M
Liquidity: $548.8K

Closes Dec 9, 2026

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes24.5¢No75.5¢

7-Day Trend+16.0¢

24h volume: $122K
Total volume: $2.7M
Liquidity: $77.2K

Closes Jan 1, 2027

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes46.5¢No53.5¢

7-Day Trend-3.0¢

24h volume: $29.2K
Total volume: $2.7M
Liquidity: $159.9K

Closes Nov 3, 2026

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes87.5¢No12.5¢

7-Day Trend0.0¢

24h volume: $53.2K
Total volume: $5.4M
Liquidity: $595.5K

Closes Nov 3, 2026

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes25.5¢No74.5¢

7-Day Trend+5.0¢

24h volume: $223K
Total volume: $7.7M
Liquidity: $506.8K

Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Prediction Markets Recent News

UBS Sees S&P 500 at 8,100 but Prediction Markets Don't Buy It

UBS Sees S&P 500 at 8,100 but Prediction Markets Don't Buy It

UBS sees the S&P 500 reaching 8,100, but prediction markets doubt it can finish above 8,000 as AI, war and rising yields test the rally.

Amazon-Backed Anthropic Needs $1.2 Trillion in Revenue to Justify $2 Trillion Valuation, 'Dean of Valuation' Says

Amazon-Backed Anthropic Needs $1.2 Trillion in Revenue to Justify $2 Trillion Valuation, 'Dean of Valuation' Says

Aswath Damodaran says Anthropic would need $1.2 trillion in annual revenue to justify a $2 trillion valuation, raising the stakes for Amazon.

Tesla Recalls Nearly 3 Million EVs in China Over Door Releases That Could Trap Occupants

Tesla Recalls Nearly 3 Million EVs in China Over Door Releases That Could Trap Occupants

Tesla recalls nearly 3 million EVs in China over emergency door releases that could make it harder to escape after a loss of power.

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

Will the S&P 500 open higher? Polymarket odds lean bullish as Wall Street weighs Iran sanctions against resilient US economic conditions.

Walmart Down 9%, Says $4 Gas Is Where Shoppers Start Cutting Back: 'Consumers Are Making Trade-Offs'

Walmart Down 9%, Says $4 Gas Is Where Shoppers Start Cutting Back: 'Consumers Are Making Trade-Offs'

Walmart says $4 gas is forcing shoppers to make trade-offs as higher fuel prices raise concerns about consumer spending.

Scott Bessent Brings His Hedge Fund Playbook To Treasury. The Bond Market Is Fighting Back

Scott Bessent Brings His Hedge Fund Playbook To Treasury. The Bond Market Is Fighting Back

Scott Bessent is using Treasury buybacks to fight surging long-term yields, but bond investors are pushing back as U.S. debt tops $40 trillion.

Elon Musk Says Starship Reuse Is Near After Years of Delays: What Do Prediction Markets Say?

Elon Musk Says Starship Reuse Is Near After Years of Delays: What Do Prediction Markets Say?

Elon Musk says SpaceX is nearing full Starship reuse after years of delays, but prediction-market traders remain skeptical about the next milestones.

CoreWeave Lands Multibillion-Dollar Hudson River Deal as Wall Street Races for Nvidia Chips

CoreWeave Lands Multibillion-Dollar Hudson River Deal as Wall Street Races for Nvidia Chips

CoreWeave lands a multibillion-dollar AI cloud deal with Hudson River Trading as Wall Street's trading giants race for Nvidia's newest chips.

Polymarket Faces Fresh Insider Trading Scrutiny After 152 Wallets Allegedly Made $8 Million Betting on US Military Markets: Report (UPDATED)

Polymarket Faces Fresh Insider Trading Scrutiny After 152 Wallets Allegedly Made $8 Million Betting on US Military Markets: Report (UPDATED)

Polymarket faces scrutiny as 150+ wallets flagged for military bets raise insider trading and national security concerns.

Trump Praises Prediction Markets as Report Finds Traders Made $8 Million on Suspicious Military Bets

Trump Praises Prediction Markets as Report Finds Traders Made $8 Million on Suspicious Military Bets

Trump praised prediction markets as researchers flagged 152 Polymarket wallets that made $8 million on suspicious military bets.

Treasury Doubles Bond Buybacks to $4 Billion — Market Strategist Slams Scott Bessent, Says It’s ‘Debt Reshuffling, Not Debt Reduction’ as Yields Surge

Treasury Doubles Bond Buybacks to $4 Billion — Market Strategist Slams Scott Bessent, Says It’s ‘Debt Reshuffling, Not Debt Reduction’ as Yields Surge

Treasury doubles bond buybacks as yields rise, but Charlie Bilello warns the move reshuffles debt instead of reducing America’s growing debt burden.

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

Will the S&P 500 open higher? Polymarket odds lean bullish amid Trump's economic D-Day on Iran, rising Treasury yields, and Walmart earnings.

Samsung Tumbled Nearly 8% in Seoul Even as AI Demand Drives Chip Prices Up To 15%

Samsung Tumbled Nearly 8% in Seoul Even as AI Demand Drives Chip Prices Up To 15%

Samsung raised advanced chipmaking prices by up to 15% as AI demand fills key production lines, even as shares fell nearly 8%.

Walmart Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will New CEO John Furner Say?

Walmart Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will New CEO John Furner Say?

Walmart reports Q2 earnings Thursday as prediction markets bet on what new CEO John Furner will say about marketplace, tariffs and gas.

Gold Jumps 3% as Bessent's Treasury Steps Into Bond Rout

Gold Jumps 3% as Bessent's Treasury Steps Into Bond Rout

Gold jumped 3.7% after Treasury doubled long-dated bond buybacks, sending yields lower as Scott Bessent steps into the bond rout.

BTC Cracks $68,000 and You May Want to Look at Kalshi to Predict Bitcoin's Next Move Before Binance Does

BTC Cracks $68,000 and You May Want to Look at Kalshi to Predict Bitcoin's Next Move Before Binance Does

Kalshi’s Bitcoin markets may be starting to predict moves on Binance, as new research points to a growing short-term lead.

Alphabet Raises $3.9B in First Australian Bond Sale as AI Spending Surges

Alphabet Raises $3.9B in First Australian Bond Sale as AI Spending Surges

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) raised A$5.5 billion ($3.89 billion) in its first Australian dollar bond sale Wednesday, as the Google parent increasingly taps global debt markets amid an AI investment boom. Investors

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RFAI

RF Acquisition Corp

HOWL

Werewolf Therapeutics

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RF Acquisition Corp II - Right

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SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

DIA

State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

QQQ

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund