TSM Stock Price Prediction: 2025, 2026, 2030

Analysts are saying that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing could hit $647 by 2030. Bullish on TSM? Invest in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing on SoFi with no commissions. If it’s your first time signing up for SoFi, you’ll receive up to $1,000 in stock when you first fund your account. Plus, get a 1% bonus if you transfer your investments and keep them there until December 31, 2025.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (NYSE: TSM) is a critical link in the artificial intelligence industry. Tech giants like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices turn to it to fabricate and produce their AI chips. The company should continue to benefit as AI spending soars, but geopolitical tensions between the United States, China, and Taiwan could complicate its financial runway.

TSMC gets good marks from analysts. In this article, we’ll look at its latest share price, Wall Street sentiment, multiyear price forecasts, and the key factors that are playing a critical role in the company’s path going forward.  

Current Stock Overview

• Market Cap: $1.14 trillion
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 29.02
• Forward P/E Ratio: 23.42
• 1-Year Return: 45%
• 2025 YTD: 38%

Shares of TSMC trade around $278 as of November 2025. The stock is up 38% year-to-date with a 45% surge over the past year. Its 29.02 trailing P/E is lower than other AI beneficiaries like Nvidia and AMD.

TSMC fabricates and produces AI chips for the big players, so its revenue and earnings should continue to grow as long as AI spending continues to increase. With Big Tech and governments looking to invest heavily in AI, that scenario seems likely. The company has posted exceptional financial growth, but those projections could face challenges if tensions accelerate between the United States, China, and TSMC’s home country of Taiwan.

The stock has a consensus Hold rating, with an average price target of $328.75 based on the ratings of four analysts, according to Benzinga. The highest recent forecast is $400, and the lowest is $200. The three most recent ratings suggest a near-term average target of $358.33, implying a 29% upside.

Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions

Bull & Bear Case

TSMC is a central player in AI, but that positioning doesn’t make it free of risks. These are some of the bullish and bearish points to consider when giving its stock a look.

Bull Case

• Tech giants turn to TSMC to fabricate and produce AI chips, which generates a lot of revenue
• Companies and governments are increasing their AI spending, which increases the demand for AI chips
• TSMC trades at a lower valuation than AI peers like Nvidia and AMD

Bear Case

• Any tensions between the United States, China, and Taiwan can materially impact TSMC’s revenue
• If the AI spending bubble bursts, TSMC stands to lose value
• EV/Assets ratio of 4.01 is greater than its 3-year average of 3.52

Stock Price Prediction for 2025

Bullish Prediction

$277.5

Average Prediction

$264.54

Bearish Prediction

$255.33

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CoinCodex forecasts a potential pullback for TSMC. A short-term correction among AI-related stocks after the recent rally may prompt weakness. In addition, tariffs and ongoing geopolitical tensions remain key risks for the chipmaker’s performance.

Stock Price Prediction for 2026

Bullish Prediction

$311.49

Average Prediction

$202.07

Bearish Prediction

$135.39

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CoinCodex projects weaker performance ahead for TSMC. The forecast reflects concerns that AI spending could slow meaningfully or that escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States, China, and Taiwan could weigh heavily on the company’s outlook. 

Stock Price Prediction for 2030

Bullish Prediction

$646.8

Average Prediction

$549.07

Bearish Prediction

$490.45

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CoinCodex’s long-term forecast for TSMC points to potential growth supported by rising AI spending and surging demand for advanced chips. The company’s leadership in cutting-edge manufacturing nodes positions it well to capture that trend. Still, risks remain: geopolitical tensions, intensifying competition, and any slowdown in AI-related investment could challenge this outlook.

Investment Considerations

TSMCS is a key player in the AI industry. The company has exceptional financial growth and works with many big chipmakers. Although its stock looks promising, investors must consider how geopolitical tensions can affect the company’s future. Any indication of a slowdown in AI chip spending can also hamper TSMC’s financial results.

Risk factors: Geopolitical tensions, AI spending decreases, and tariffs reduce profit margins.

TSMC is an asset to consider for investors who understand the long-term AI opportunity. The stock also provides more stability than AI-related small caps. The stock is a slow and steady mover relative to other AI stocks and has a reasonable valuation compared to its peers.

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