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Shares of Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (NASDAQ: PSNY) have languished in 2025 despite electric vehicle sales growth and improved financial performance. As a sector challenger, the Swedish EV maker confronts significant hurdles from intense competition and high debt, as well as persistent operational losses and unpredictable market sentiment.
This article examines PSNY’s latest trading metrics, multi-year stock price forecasts, and the critical factors that may influence its future share price trajectory including the potential impact of tariffs on EVs and related supply chains.
Current Polestar Stock Overview
- Market Cap: $1.31 billion
- Trailing P/E: N/A
- Forward P/E: N/A
- 1-Year Return: -47%
- YTD Return: -37%
Polestar is trading below $1 as of October 2025, a sharp move down from its all-time peak, with more than 36% year-to-date and a 46% one-year loss. The EV sector remains turbulent, with PSNY’s price action reflecting shifting optimism around deliveries, cost discipline, and consumer appetite for innovative electric models. The 52-week range, spanning $0.12 to $0.80, underscores persistent volatility and guessing about Polestar’s ability to scale profitably.
Technical indicators show the stock hovering near moving average support, and bearish sentiment marks ongoing skepticism about short-term business momentum. Tariff pressure, especially on imports of vehicles and key battery components, remains a sector-wide concern, potentially impacting both input costs and market access depending on regulatory actions by the U.S., E.U., and China.
Polestar is continuing a global push with new model launches, production expansion, and active marketing to distinguish its brand in EV and premium auto segments. The automaker has announced fresh deliveries of its signature Polestar 2 fastback and made headway in international markets through strategic partnerships and increased manufacturing capacity.
Ongoing sector headwinds including chip shortages, raw material cost spikes, and intensifying trade disputes have led to delays and margin compression for many EV makers. For Polestar, U.S. and E.U. tariffs on imported EVs and batteries are especially impactful, given the company’s international supply chain and ambition to expand stateside operations. Executive guidance and industry commentary warn that additional tariffs or regulatory barriers could raise production costs and slow Polestar's competitive advances, as global trade tensions remain heightened.
Analyst sentiment on Polestar is cautious with a note of optimism for long-term recovery. According to Benzinga, PSNY has a consensus price target of $2.34 based on 9 analyst ratings, with a high forecast of $9 (RF Lafferty, August 2023) and a low at $0.78 (Bernstein, August 2024). The three most recent analyst ratings from BofA Securities and Cantor Fitzgerald average $2.42, hinting at 1,000% upside from current levels. This is matched by persistent warnings about earnings volatility, cash burn rate, and the risks posed by trade developments and tariffs that could influence both raw-material cost and final vehicle demand.
Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions
Year | Bullish Prediction | Average Prediction | Bearish Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
2025 | $0.57 | $0.55 | $0.54 |
2026 | $0.55 | $0.52 | $0.49 |
2027 | $0.5 | $0.48 | $0.47 |
2028 | $0.47 | $0.46 | $0.46 |
2029 | $0.46 | $0.45 | $0.37 |
2030 | $0.42 | $0.3 | $0.14 |
2031 | $0.21 | $0.12 | $0.07 |
2032 | $0.08 | $0.04 | $0.02 |
2033 | $0.04 | $0.03 | $0.02 |
2040 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
2050 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
The forecast range in this table is based on algorithmic projections provided by CoinCodex. These models use historical price trends, volatility patterns, and moving averages to estimate future stock prices over multiple time horizons.
Bull & Bear Case
Polestar’s future depends on its ability to scale manufacturing, navigate global trade complexities, and differentiate its brand within the fiercely competitive EV landscape.
Bull Case
- Continued expansion in core EV markets and new model rollouts boost revenue and brand recognition.
- Financial backing from majority owner Geely and prudent capital management support Polestar’s production targets despite volatile sector conditions.
- Successful market entry in the U.S., China, and Europe, paired with competitive technology and design, spur demand especially if trade tensions ease and tariffs remain manageable.
Bear Case
- Tariff hikes and ongoing trade disputes raise input costs, limit supply chain flexibility, and dampen profitability for Polestar and other global EV makers.
- Prolonged chip shortages, raw material price inflation, and regulatory headwinds delay production schedules and threaten capitalization.
- Consumer demand softens or shifts to competitors, driving down sales and increasing risk of further stock depreciation.
Polestar Stock Price Prediction for 2025
CoinCodex’s forecast for Polestar points to limited upside if input costs stay elevated and tariffs restrict market access. Strong execution on deliveries and new model launches could spark a rebound, but risks remain elevated given the current environment.
Polestar Stock Price Prediction for 2026
Polestar is expected to face similar headwinds ahead, with tariff developments playing a pivotal role in its ability to expand in North America and Europe. If the company secures trade-friendly supply chains and improves margins, performance could improve, though ongoing volatility is still likely.
Polestar Stock Price Prediction for 2030
By the end of the decade, forecasts for Polestar reflect wide uncertainty tied to sector disruption, regulatory changes, and the long-term impact of trade policies on vehicle electrification. Sustainable revenue growth, cost discipline, and deeper market penetration will be critical for the company to achieve long-term appreciation.
Investment Considerations
Polestar is best suited for speculative investors who are willing to accept significant risk and volatility in pursuit of potential long-term gains in the electric vehicle sector. While recent forecasts project the company’s stock price to remain near or below current levels over the next several years, some analysts suggest there could be upside if Polestar successfully executes on its growth strategy and sector conditions improve. These are high-risk bets, and most projections indicate limited appreciation unless industry dynamics shift favorably.
Given these challenges, investors should carefully monitor Polestar’s quarterly results, cash reserves, and evolving trade conditions before making portfolio adjustments. Factors like delivery growth, new product launches, and technological advancements all have the potential to influence performance; but tariffs, sector sentiment, and real-time technical indicators are likely to drive near-term price movements, offering both risk and opportunity for active participants
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Polestar stock a buy for 2025?
Most analysts remain cautious, with PSNY having a Hold rating and consensus price targets implying little to no upside.
How do tariffs impact Polestar’s outlook?
Tariffs raise Polestar’s production costs and could restrict access to key markets, potentially slowing growth and squeezing margins for global EV makers.
What is Polestar’s long-term price forecast?
CoinCodex models show a range between $0.1251 and $0.3723 by 2030.
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