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Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) stands at a critical juncture in its storied 41-year stock history. Once the undisputed leader in semiconductor manufacturing, the company now trades at around $25 per share as of August 2025, down significantly from its all-time highs as it grapples with fierce competition from AMD and Nvidia.
We’ll take a close look at how Intel stock is currently performing, where its valuation stands, and what experts think could happen to its price in 2025, 2026, and 2030. We’ll give you projections from Wall Street analysts and independent models, along with a close look at the key trends, possible risks, and different opinions shaping Intel’s future.
Current Stock Overview
- Market Cap: $104.17 billion
- Trailing P/E Ratio: N/A
- Forward P/E Ratio: 187.31
- 1-Year Return: +19.82%
- 2025 Year to Date: +23.91%
Intel currently trades at around $25 per share and holds a market cap near $117.15 billion, a steep drop from its historic highs, reflecting both investor uncertainty and the challenges facing the chipmaker’s ambitious turnaround effort. Throughout 2025, the stock has been highly volatile, swinging from a yearly high of $27.55 down to lows near $17.66 as market participants digest the company’s operational setbacks and restructuring announcements.
Under newly appointed CEO Lip-Bu Tan, Intel is doubling down on its foundry business and advanced manufacturing technologies, supported by substantial government backing through the CHIPS Act. While the transition offers potential for renewed growth, persistent losses, margin pressures, and heavy capital investment have led to skepticism over whether Intel’s current strategic overhaul will restore investor confidence or prove to be a prolonged value trap.
According to Benzinga analyst ratings, Intel Corp has a consensus price target of $23.77 based on the views of 33 analysts. The range of targets is significant, with Evercore ISI Group assigning the highest target at $36 on April 26, 2024, and Rosenblatt issuing the lowest at $14 on July 25, 2025. The three most recent analyst ratings from JP Morgan, Rosenblatt, and Loop Capital reflect an average price target of $20, which suggests a -20.87% downside from current levels for Intel Corp based on these latest updates.
Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions
| Year | Lowest Prediction ($) | Average Prediction ($) | Maximum Prediction ($) |
| 2025 | 23.47 | 25.11 | 27.23 |
| 2026 | 11.60 | 18.64 | 27.28 |
| 2027 | 11.59 | 16.01 | 24.67 |
| 2028 | 8.42 | 14.78 | 24.50 |
| 2029 | 8.30 | 10.44 | 12.63 |
| 2030 | 5.70 | 8.79 | 12.65 |
The forecast range in this table is based on algorithmic projections provided by CoinCodex. These models use historical price trends, volatility patterns and moving averages to estimate future stock prices over multiple time horizons.
Bull & Bear Case
These contrasting perspectives reflect Intel's position as either a deeply undervalued turnaround opportunity or a structurally challenged company facing permanent margin compression in an increasingly competitive semiconductor landscape.
Bull Case
- Intel’s “five-nodes-in-four-years” roadmap drives Foundry transformation and manufacturing leadership recovery, targeting process leadership with Intel 18A in 2025 to close the gap with rival TSMC.
- $8.5 billion in CHIPS Act funding supports advanced manufacturing investments and Intel Foundry’s ambition to become the world’s second-largest foundry by 2030.
- Microsoft design win for Intel 18A manufacturing signals external customer confidence, with $15 billion in reported lifetime deal value for Intel Foundry.
- Projected artificial intelligence (AI) PC adoption growth (19% in 2024 to 53% by 2026) could benefit Intel’s strong position in PC processors.
- Significant institutional investor support, including a stake from Arrowstreet Capital, indicates professional confidence in Intel’s turnaround strategy.
Bear Case
- Continued market share losses to AMD in consumer and server markets, and Nvidia’s dominance in AI accelerators, weaken competitive standing.
- Execution risks in the foundry business, with warnings that failure to secure major 14A process customers could lead to closure of advanced manufacturing operations.
- Negative free cash flow of $4.5 billion, gross margin of 29.7% (well below peers), and rising debt obligations point to mounting financial strain.
- Workforce reduction of 15% underscores cost pressures, while delays in Germany and Poland chipmaking factories highlight capital allocation challenges.
- Only 3.4% of analysts rate the stock as a buy, compared to 17.2% issuing sell ratings.
Stock Price Prediction for 2025
Forecast range: $23 - $27
For 2025, Intel’s price targets reflect exceptionally wide disagreement among analysts and modelers. According to CoinCodex price target consensus ranges from a low of $23 to a high of $27, with an average around $25. CoinCodex, using algorithmic and technical analysis, forecasts a more subdued price trajectory and indicates little short-term upside in its risk-adjusted base case.
The wide dispersion of forecasts is attributed to uncertainty around Intel’s ability to execute on its manufacturing roadmap, win foundry contracts, and restore operating margins after several challenging quarters. The optimistic case depends on a successful technology ramp and efficiency gains, while the bearish end reflects persistent execution risk and weak profitability.
Stock Price Prediction for 2026
Forecast range: $12-$27
For 2026, the outlook remains divided. CoinCodex’s algorithmic projections suggest the possibility of Intel declining toward $12 in a bearish scenario if its turnaround continues to struggle and sector headwinds persist. The top-end of forecasts peaks at $27, reached only if Intel can materially improve manufacturing yields and foundry market share.
Stock Price Prediction for 2030
Forecast range: $6-$13
Forecasts for 2030 feature even wider uncertainty. According to CoinCodex’s long-term algorithmic model, Intel could fall to the $6–$13 range if it fails to regain competitiveness, maintains weak margins, or loses further share to rivals. Alternatively, the stock could recover to the $40 range by decade’s end. Any such rebound is contingent upon consistent execution and a reversal of recent negative trends, and all three sources flag the high risk and unpredictability in forecasting this far out.
Investment Considerations
According to CoinCodex, Intel’s near-term outlook is mixed, with its models projecting a 3% decline to $21.59 per share by September, 2025. While its technical indicators currently register a “Bullish” signal, the Fear & Greed Index sits at 39 (Fear), suggesting a market environment still influenced by caution and uncertainty. Over the past 30 trading days, INTC posted 17 green sessions (57%) and demonstrated 6.61% price volatility, reflecting a moderate level of short-term risk.
CoinCodex explicitly notes that it is presently a “bad time to buy” Intel stock, reasoning that the current price is trading 11% below its forecasted value, a situation that it interprets as potential overvaluation rather than a bargain opportunity. This stance underscores its view that despite bullish technical momentum, Intel’s current pricing already bakes in optimistic near-term expectations, leaving less room for upside if execution stumbles.
For investors, this means Intel may be a high-volatility semiconductor play with short-term headwinds outweighing immediate upside potential. While the long-term turnaround narrative around Intel’s foundry ambitions and process technology roadmap may still appeal to patient value-seekers, forecasts position the stock as one that could face further downside pressure before any recovery trend takes hold. Near-term sentiment will likely hinge on whether Intel can deliver positive surprises in upcoming earnings or secure major strategic wins against competitors, but as of now, the model signals caution.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Intel a good long-term investment?
Intel offers compelling turnaround potential for risk-tolerant investors with five- to 10-year time horizons, but success depends heavily on foundry execution and manufacturing competitiveness recovery.
What will Intel be worth in 2030?
Long-term projections range from $3 to $40, depending on foundry strategy success. If Intel achieves its goal of becoming the world’s second-largest foundry with target margins, significant upside is possible, though execution risks remain substantial.
Does Intel pay a dividend?
Intel suspended its dividend in 2025 to preserve capital for foundry investments and turnaround initiatives. The company had historically paid consistent dividends since 1992, but it’s now prioritizing strategic investments over shareholder distributions during the restructuring period.
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