Costco Stock Price Prediction: 2025, 2026, 2030

Analysts are saying that Costco could hit $1,586 by 2030. Bullish on COST? Invest in Costco on SoFi with no commissions. If it’s your first time signing up for SoFi, you’ll receive up to $1,000 in stock when you first fund your account. Plus, get a 1% bonus if you transfer your investments and keep them there until December 31, 2025.

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST) has been one of Wall Street’s consistently popular retail stocks since the beginning of the pandemic when shares really started taking off. Families, retailers, and businesses continue to rely on the wholesale club’s wide array of offerings, even as the threat of tariffs creates concern for consumers.

This article outlines Costco’s current financial standing, as well as potential price target estimates for 2025, 2026, and 200, created using a structured forecasting methodology. It will cover analyst sentiment, algorithmic projections, and valuation data to frame Costco’s possible short- and long-term paths.

Current Costco Stock Overview

• Market Cap: $398.83 billion
• Trailing P/E Ratio: 49.88
• Forward P/E Ratio: 45.05
• 1-Year Return: -5.54%
• 2025 Year to Date: -0.7%

Because of broader volatility across the retail sector, Costco shares are down 0.7% year to day and 5.5% over the past year as of November 2025. However, the company also raised its quarterly dividend last May to $1.30 per share, up from $1.16. These are just a few of the reasons that analysts give COST a consensus rating of Buy, with a high price target of $1,225 and a low of $907.

Although Costco Wholesale Corporation’s trailing-twelve-month (TTM) P/E ratio is fairly elevated, analysts still see room for growth, especially when comparing it to peers. As of November 2025, Walmart Inc. (the parent of Sam’s Club) trades at roughly 38–41× earnings. Meanwhile, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BJ) has a TTM P/E of about 20 – 21×.

Those members are loyal. Costco reported in its most recent quarterly results that its renewal rates were close to 93%. Overall membership also increased by 7% year over year.

Tariffs have the potential to have a big impact on the entire retail segment. Shoppers started making large household purchases and loading up on non-perishable products ahead of tariff announcements, which should increase Costco’s short-term revenue. However, if tariffs inevitably cause prices to increase, it will hurt sales across the retail sector. How it will affect Costco is less certain, since customers could turn to the discounter to save more money.

Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions 

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case

Costco is still a highly regarded stock, with 22 out of 38 analysts rating it a Buy or Strong Buy. Its debt burden dropping by 17% and TTM dividend growth of 12% are great reasons to hold on to shares, even if their three-year total return of 79% begins to decline somewhat. The company’s long track record of continued membership growth also bodes well for the long run.

Bear Case

Costco is starting to enter a phase of less rapid profit growth with an EPS forecast of 9.42% growth versus a three-year average of 12.02%. Free cash flow is slowing, but the company is also investing in more warehouse stores, technology, and logistics, which can be risky bets for a company that has expanded so rapidly. Its PEG ratio is also up to 5.77 from 4.32, which could indicate that the stock is increasingly overvalued.

Stock Price Prediction for 2025

Bullish Prediction

$989.55

Average Prediction

$839.03

Bearish Prediction

$686.48

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Costco’s outlook remains solid, though the stock continues to trade at a premium compared to peers. Uncertainty around tariffs adds risk, even as memberships climb and the company reduces its debt load.

Sentiment appears neutral, with technical indicators showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions. If tariff pressures ease, Costco’s fundamentals — steady membership growth and strong balance sheet discipline — could support further momentum.

Stock Price Prediction for 2026

Bullish Prediction

$989.55

Average Prediction

$839.03

Bearish Prediction

$686.48

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Analysts are approaching Costco’s outlook with some hesitation, given the uncertainty surrounding retail overall. Tariff concerns remain a major factor, but the company continues to expand — adding new warehouses and forming partnerships like its recent tie-up with Affirm, which could drive more big-ticket spending among members.

The bigger unknown is how tariffs ultimately land. If they ease or fail to materialize, Costco could surprise to the upside. But if they tighten supply chains and increase costs, the impact on valuation could be more pronounced.

Stock Price Prediction for 2030

Bullish Prediction

$1586.18

Average Prediction

$1391.62

Bearish Prediction

$1197

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Costco’s future largely hinges on global tariffs and how they affect supply chains. Significant disruptions could slow growth, though the company has shown resilience before — during the pandemic, it even chartered private container ships to keep goods flowing from overseas markets.

The long-term risk environment remains uncertain, but Costco’s track record of creative problem solving and its focus on steady expansion suggest it’s well positioned to keep growing over time, regardless of volatility.

Investment Considerations/Closing Summary

Costco has been a resilient stock through difficult times over the last five years, and there’s nothing to indicate that the company won’t continue to adapt and overcome when problems come along that derail other retailers. A history of loyalty from members who are willing to pay to shop there also helps its long-term forecast.

However, investors should be thinking about the risks due to global tariffs. It’s a huge well of uncertainty that no one can see the bottom of just yet, but if Costco sees its way through it, the stock becomes a great buying opportunity today, and the risk will become a reward.

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