More Trouble for Freeport McMoRan As Indonesian Labor Rejects Latest Layoffs

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It appeared Freeport McMoRan Cooper & Gold
FCX
had put an end to woes in its Indonesian operations when it
announced
on December 14, 2011 that it had successfully resolved its three-month-long worker strike which had seen its operations stopped at the world's second largest copper mine. The same workers
halted
their return to work on Tuesday (local time) due to what senior union officials considered labor disputes, which concerns proposed lay-offs. Current disagreements between the company and the labor union threaten the company's plans to resume full operations by the beginning of 2012. The three-month standoff that was thought to have been resolved started with an announced strike on September 15 of this year and deteriorated into
October
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clashes between the police and activists which resulted in shootings that killed three individuals. During riots, concentrate and fuel pipelines were severely damaged. Benzinga Pro updated on FCX Indonesia developments in real time. Try them
here
. The story had been a familiar one. Local workers had appealed to have their wages increased commensurately with the wealth being extracted by the mining and million operations in Indonesia.
Eight
of the twelve thousand unionized employees, who were paid from $2.10 to $3.50 per hour began strikes demanding salary increases of up to $300 percent. Eventually, a deal was reached for approximately
40 percent
pay increase over two years. More importantly, parties had agreed that future wage renegotiation would be based on living costs and wage competitiveness within Indonesia. No word yet on the cost of this latest disruption of work. The strike had cost the company lowered fourth quarter production
guidance
to the tune of 115 million pounds of copper and 200,000 ounces of gold. A similar stoppage back in July of 2011 had cost the company an estimated
$30 million
per day. FCX is currently trading at $38.00 per share, about 0.85 percent down on Friday's close. The stock is some 36 percent down YTD.

ACTION ITEMS:

Bullish:
Traders who believe that this latest disagreement is less significant than the three-month strike, and therefore more solvable, might want to consider the following trades:
  • Long FCX: the company has had quite a pullback from the strike initiation on September 15, and a true reinstatement of full operations may prove a catalyst for significant upside in stock valuation
Bearish:
Traders who believe that the latest disagreements are part of systemic imbalances fueled by cultural and ethnic clashes in the region may consider alternative positions:
  • Short FCX: long-term halted operations may test new lows in stock valuation
  • Long GLD: Halted FCX operations mean restriction in gold supplies and therefore a run-up in price
  • Long GDX: this gold miners' ETF provides an additional vehicle for potential upside resulting from a depressed gold supply
Neither Benzinga nor its staff recommend that you buy, sell, or hold any security. We do not offer investment advice, personalized or otherwise. Benzinga recommends that you conduct your own due diligence and consult a certified financial professional for personalized advice about your financial situation.
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