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Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) is a payroll automation leader that enjoys recurring revenue from a durable business model, but growth has been modest, and the company is vulnerable to a weakening jobs market.
In this article, we’ll look at Wall Street sentiment, multiyear price forecasts, and the key factors that are playing a critical role in ADP’s path going forward.
Current Stock Overview
Market Cap: $102.19 billion
Trailing P/E Ratio: 29.05
Forward P/E Ratio: 26.53
1-Year Return: -17%
2025 YTD: -14%
ADP has a consensus Hold rating from 22 analysts, according to Benzinga. The average price target is $287.33 per share, which suggests a moderate upside from current levels. The highest price target is $350, and the lowest is $213. The three most recent ratings suggest a near-term average target of $285, suggesting a 13% upside.
Quick Snapshot Table of Predictions & Methodology for Forecasting
Bull & Bear Case
ADP is a leading payroll software provider with solid financials and an attractive dividend yield, but moderate growth rates could inhibit significant stock gains.
Bull Case
- ADP’s P/E ratio of 24.97 is below its 10-year median, suggesting some upside is possible for the stock.
- ADP has a durable business model and is the leader in the payroll software industry with a wide customer base, which makes it difficult for it to lose market share from smaller competitors that lack its resources.
- The company has consistently hiked its dividend, which is currently $1.54 per share with a respectable yield of 2.44%, making the stock attractive to income investors.
Bear Case
- ADP is only posting moderate revenue growth rates, which may inhibit notable share price gains.
- A weakening job market and the acceleration of AI replacing jobs may hurt ADP’s income and lower the stock price.
- ADP’s fiscal outlook indicates growth will decelerate from current levels.
Stock Price Prediction for 2025
CoinCodex projects that ADP stock will gain value for the rest of the year. A historically low P/E ratio may be enough to give shares a boost. Positive developments in the job market can also propel ADP stock higher, since it means more companies will potentially invest in its market-leading payroll software.
Stock Price Prediction for 2026
CoinCodex forecasts a moderate upside for ADP stock in 2026. Although revenue and net income growth will likely remain modest, a low P/E ratio may be enough to give the stock a boost. ADP can also benefit from a strong job market and fears about AI replacing jobs being overblown.
Stock Price Prediction for 2030
CoinCodex anticipates ADP stock rallying in 2030. A return to accelerating revenue growth can help, and the company’s strong balance sheet may attract additional investors. A strong job market is another catalyst that can give ADP stock a boost.
Investment Considerations
ADP is a leading payroll software company that trades at a reasonable valuation and has a solid dividend and yield. Income investors may want to give this stock a look, but growth investors may look elsewhere for more rapid gains.
Investors should monitor the job market if they want to buy ADP stock, as employment strength or weakness plays a key role in demand for the company’s payroll services.
About Marc Guberti
Marc Guberti is an investing writer passionate about helping people learn more about money management, investing and finance. He has more than 10 years of writing experience focused on finance and digital marketing. His work has been published in U.S. News & World Report, USA Today, InvestorPlace and other publications.













